Monetary policy and uncertainty

• March 20, 2025

  Navigating tariff uncertainty

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the US trade conflict and uncertainty is hurting business and consumer confidence. He also outlines what the Bank is doing to ensure the trade conflict doesn’t cause widespread or persistent inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
• March 20, 2025

  Tariffs and trade uncertainty are hurting the Canadian economy

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how uncertainty about the trade war with the United States has shaken businesses and consumer confidence. He also reiterates that the Bank of Canada must ensure that high prices from tariffs do not lead to ongoing inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
• February 21, 2025

  Trade conflict: What can the Bank of Canada do?

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Mississauga Board of Trade-Oakville Chamber of Commerce Mississauga, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how a trade conflict would affect the Canadian economy and monetary policy. He also outlines what the Bank of Canada is focusing on as it renews its monetary policy framework.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Economic models, Housing, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Potential output, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
• February 21, 2025

  Tariffs, structural change and monetary policy

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Mississauga Board of Trade-Oakville Chamber of Commerce Mississauga, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the potential impact of a trade conflict with the United States. He also launches the review of the Bank’s monetary policy framework.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Economic models, Housing, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Potential output, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
• February 6, 2025

  Structural change, supply shocks and hard choices

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Bank for International Settlements Mexico City, Mexico

  In panel remarks, Governor Tiff Macklem highlights the challenges ahead and discusses the role of monetary policy in a world with more structural change and supply shocks.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments

• Exploring the drivers of the real term premium in Canada

  Staff Analytical Note 2025-3 Zabi Tarshi, Gitanjali Kumar

  Changes in the term premium can reflect uncertainty about inflation, growth and monetary policy. Understanding the key factors that influence the term premium is important when central banks make decisions about monetary policy. In this paper, we derive the real term premium from the nominal term premium in Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets, Interest rates, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C5, C58, E, E4, E43, E47, G, G1, G12
• September 24, 2024

  Economic growth during uncertain times

  Remarks Tiff Macklem IIF-CBA Forum Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses global uncertainty, and the Bank of Canada’s role in mitigating and managing risks to our economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments
• September 20, 2024

  Artificial intelligence, the economy and central banking

  Remarks Tiff Macklem National Bureau of Economic Research, Economics of Artificial Intelligence Conference Toronto, Ontario

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how artificial intelligence could impact the economy, and outlines some of the implications for monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Productivity
• September 19, 2024

  Monetary policy decision-making: Behind the scenes

  Remarks Nicolas Vincent Sherbrooke Chamber of Commerce and Industry Sherbrooke, Quebec

  External Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent gives a behind the scenes look at the rigorous research, analysis and debate that go into every monetary policy decision.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission
• September 19, 2024

  Getting to a monetary policy decision

  Speech summary Nicolas Vincent Sherbrooke Chamber of Commerce and Industry Sherbrooke, Quebec

  External Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent gives a behind-the-scenes look at how the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council arrives at its monetary policy decisions.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission