Inflation targets

• The Effects of Inflation Targeting for Financial Development

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-21 Geoffrey R. Dunbar, Amy (Qijia) Li

  The adoption of inflation targeting (IT) by central banks leads to an increase of 10 to 20 percent in measures of financial development, with a lag. We also find evidence that the financial sector benefits of IT adoption were higher for early-adopting central banks.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Financial Institutions, Inflation targets, Transmission of monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E58
• June 17, 2019

  Flexible Exchange Rates, Commodity Prices and Price Stability

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Economics Society of Northern Alberta (ESNA) Edmonton, Alberta

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri speaks before the Economics Society of Northern Alberta (ESNA).

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rates, Financial markets, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework
• June 17, 2019

  The Merits of a Floating Exchange Rate

  Lawrence L. Schembri Economics Society of Northern Alberta (ESNA) Edmonton, Alberta

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri explains how Canada’s monetary policy framework—inflation targeting underpinned by a flexible exchange rate—has proved to be the most durable in the post-war period.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rates, Financial markets, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework
• February 21, 2019

  Toward 2021: The Power—and Limitations—of Policy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz The Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec

  Governor Poloz explains that monetary policy is a powerful tool to promote economic welfare, but it also has some important limits.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments, Uncertainty and monetary policy
• February 21, 2019

  Monetary policy brings benefits—but has limits

  Stephen S. Poloz Montréal, Quebec

  In his first speech of 2019, Governor Stephen S. Poloz explains that monetary policy is a powerful tool to promote our economic welfare. But he also notes that it has some key limits that need to be better understood in the face of uncertainty.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework

• Limited Commitment, Endogenous Credibility and the Challenges of Price-level Targeting

  Staff Working Paper 2018-61 Gino Cateau, Malik Shukayev

  This paper studies the cost of limited commitment when a central bank has the discretion to adjust policy whenever the costs of honoring its past commitments become high. Specifically, we consider a central bank that seeks to implement optimal policy in a New Keynesian model by committing to a price-level target path.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52

• Credibility, Flexibility and Renewal: The Evolution of Inflation Targeting in Canada

  Staff Discussion Paper 2018-18 Thomas J. Carter, Rhys R. Mendes, Lawrence L. Schembri

  In 1991, Canada became the second country to adopt an inflation target as a central pillar of its monetary policy framework. The regime has proven much more successful than initially expected, both in achieving price stability and in stabilizing the real economy against a wide range of shocks.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation targets, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61
• November 20, 2018

  Choosing the Best Monetary Policy Framework for Canada

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins McGill University Max Bell School of Public Policy Montréal, Quebec

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses public policy issues around monetary policy frameworks and how those issues have become more complex in the post-global financial crisis world.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Fiscal Policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy framework

• Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts

  Staff Working Paper 2018-52 Julien Champagne, Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle, Rodrigo Sekkel

  We present a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada’s staff economic projections. We then provide a forecast evaluation for GDP growth and CPI inflation since 1982: we compare the staff forecasts with those from commonly used time-series models estimated with real-time data and with forecasts from other professional forecasters and provide standard bias tests.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Inflation targets, Monetary Policy JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E1, E17, E3, E37
• September 8, 2018

  Investing in Monetary Policy Independence in a Small Open Economy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz, Césaire Meh Monetary Policy Spillovers in a Financially Integrated World Copenhagen, Denmark

  Governor Poloz discusses policies that can help central banks keep the ability to pursue independent monetary policy in a financially integrated global economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Fiscal Policy, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy implementation