Fiscal Policy

• Monetary Policy and Government Debt Dynamics Without Commitment

  Staff Working Paper 2019-52 Dmitry Matveev

  I show that maturity considerations affect the optimal conduct of monetary and fiscal policy during a period of government debt reduction. I consider a New Keynesian model and study a dynamic game of monetary and fiscal policy authorities without commitment, characterizing the incentives that drive the choice of interest rate.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E6, E62, E63
• March 14, 2019

  The Age of Leverage

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins UBC Vancouver School of Economics and CFA Society Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how high leverage is both a headwind to global growth and a vulnerability in the global financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Credit risk management, Financial Institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Fiscal Policy

• Inequality in Parental Transfers, Borrowing Constraints and Optimal Higher Education Subsidies

  Staff Working Paper 2019-7 Youngmin Park

  This paper studies optimal education subsidies when parental transfers are unequally distributed across students and cannot be publicly observed. After documenting substantial inequality in parental transfers among US college students with similar family resources, I examine its implications for how the education subsidy should vary with schooling level and family resources to minimize inefficiencies generated by borrowing constraints.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Fiscal Policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): D, D1, D14, D6, D61, D64, D8, D82, I, I2, I22, J, J2, J24
• November 20, 2018

  Choosing the Best Monetary Policy Framework for Canada

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins McGill University Max Bell School of Public Policy Montréal, Quebec

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses public policy issues around monetary policy frameworks and how those issues have become more complex in the post-global financial crisis world.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Fiscal Policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy framework

• Non-Performing Loans, Fiscal Costs and Credit Expansion in China

  Staff Working Paper 2018-53 Huixin Bi, Yongquan Cao, Wei Dong

  This paper studies how the credit expansion policy pursued by the Chinese government in an effort to stimulate its economy in the post-crisis period affects bank–firm loan contracts and the macroeconomy. We build a structural model with financial frictions in which the optimal loan contract reflects the trade-off between leverage and the probability of default.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Fiscal Policy, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E6, E62
• September 8, 2018

  Investing in Monetary Policy Independence in a Small Open Economy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz, Césaire Meh Monetary Policy Spillovers in a Financially Integrated World Copenhagen, Denmark

  Governor Poloz discusses policies that can help central banks keep the ability to pursue independent monetary policy in a financially integrated global economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Fiscal Policy, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy implementation

• Time-Consistent Management of a Liquidity Trap with Government Debt

  Staff Working Paper 2018-38 Dmitry Matveev

  This paper studies optimal discretionary monetary and fiscal policy when the lower bound on nominal interest rates is occasionally binding in a model with nominal rigidities and long-term government debt. At the lower bound it is optimal for the government to temporarily reduce debt.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E6, E62, E63

• Sources of Borrowing and Fiscal Multipliers

  Staff Working Paper 2018-32 Romanos Priftis, Srecko Zimic

  This paper finds that debt-financed government spending multipliers vary considerably depending on the location of the debt buyer. In a sample of 33 countries, we find that government spending multipliers are larger when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to foreign investors (non-residents), compared with when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to home investors (residents).

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Debt Management, Economic models, Fiscal Policy, International financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E6, E62, F, F4, F41, H, H3
• February 15, 2018

  Anchoring Expectations: Canada’s Approach to Price Stability

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Manitoba Association for Business Economists Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri examines the success of the Bank’s monetary policy framework and explains the review being undertaken before its renewal in 2021.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Fiscal Policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework

• Government Spending Multipliers Under the Zero Lower Bound: Evidence from Japan

  Staff Working Paper 2017-40 Thuy Lan Nguyen, Dmitriy Sergeyev, Wataru Miyamoto

  Using a rich data set on government spending forecasts in Japan, we provide new evidence on the effects of unexpected changes in government spending when the nominal interest rate is near the zero lower bound (ZLB).

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal Policy JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E5, E6, E62