October 3, 2025 The difference between the price level and inflation Price levels are a measure of the average cost of goods and services in the economy at a particular point in time. Inflation measures the rate of change in prices over a specific period. Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets
October 2, 2025 Underlying inflation: Separating the signal from the noise Remarks Rhys R. Mendes Ivey Business School London, Ontario Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes speaks about how the Bank of Canada assesses underlying inflation, including the use of measures of core inflation. He also touches on the renewal of the monetary policy framework, which happens in 2026. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
October 2, 2025 Breaking down inflation Speech summary Rhys R. Mendes Ivey Business School London, Ontario Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes discusses the importance of understanding which parts of inflation are lasting and which are temporary. He also talks about the Bank of Canada’s upcoming renewal of its monetary policy framework. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
September 29, 2025 Why we target 2% inflation Inflation measures the rate of growth in prices, and the Bank of Canada aims to keep it at 2%. When inflation is low, stable and predictable, the entire economy works better. Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets
September 23, 2025 Global trade, capital flows and Canada’s prosperity Remarks Tiff Macklem Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership and the Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce Saskatoon, Saskatchewan Governor Tiff Macklem discusses four megatrends that are transforming the global economic and financial landscape. He outlines how US tariffs are affecting the Canadian economy and what structural changes are needed to ensure Canada’s prosperity. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Foreign reserves management, Inflation and prices, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
September 23, 2025 Time to roll up our sleeves Speech summary Tiff Macklem Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership and the Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce Saskatoon, Saskatchewan Governor Tiff Macklem outlines four megatrends that are transforming the global economic and financial landscape. He also talks about the structural reform needed to ensure Canada’s long-term prosperity. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Foreign reserves management, Inflation and prices, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
Credit Conditions, Inflation, and Unemployment Staff Working Paper 2025-26 Chao Gu, Janet Hua Jiang, Liang Wang We identify two channels that affect the relationship between inflation and unemployment. First, inflation lowers wages because unemployed suffer more from inflation than employed, generating a positive relationship. Second, inflation increases firms’ financing costs, generating a negative relationship. Improvements in firm financing conditions can induce the relationship to switch signs. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Inflation and prices, Labour markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E3, E31, E4, E44, E5, E51
August 14, 2025 The difference between a trade surplus and a trade deficit A trade surplus and a trade deficit are both measures of a country’s balance of trade. They are a calculation of whether a country exports or imports more. Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics
Assessing tariff pass-through to consumer prices in Canada: Lessons from 2018 Staff Analytical Note 2025-18 Alexander Lam US trade protectionism is making the economic outlook increasingly uncertain. To assess how consumer prices may respond to tariffs, we examine a tariff episode from 2018 using detailed microdata and the synthetic control method. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): E, E3, E30, E31, F, F1, F10, F13, F14
June 18, 2025 The impact of US trade policy on jobs and inflation in Canada Remarks Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the trade conflict with the United States has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is critical for jobs and growth, and important for prices and inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration