January 15, 2024 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2023 Consumers believe inflation has fallen, but their expectations for inflation in the near term are showing little progress in returning to pre-pandemic levels. Slow progress may be due to persistently high inflation expectations for services such as rent. In addition, consumers increasingly think domestic factors, such as high government spending, are supporting high inflation, and they believe these factors will take longer to resolve than global factors. Consumers have adjusted their behaviour in response to prolonged high inflation—more people are paying attention to inflation and changing their spending habits. However, actions that may support inflation, such as seeking wage increases to offset it, are dissipating. The negative effects of high interest rates are broadening, and indicators of household financial stress are deteriorating. Consumers remain uncertain about the economic outlook, and this uncertainty is weighing on their spending plans. Workers think the labour market has weakened slightly. However, expectations for wage growth remain high, supported by cost-of-living adjustments in some workers’ wage contracts. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
December 21, 2023 How higher interest rates affect inflation When the Bank of Canada changes its policy interest rate, it affects every part of the economy – but that does not happen all at once. Learn more about how raising and lowering interest rates takes effect through the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission
December 20, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of December 6, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on December 6, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
November 17, 2023 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2023 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2023 - For the period ended September 30, 2023 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
November 8, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of October 25, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on October 25, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
November 6, 2023 Market Participants Survey—Third Quarter of 2023 The Market Participants Survey results are based on questionnaire responses from about 30 financial market participants. Content Type(s): Publications, Market Participants Survey
October 25, 2023 Monetary Policy Report – October 2023 Higher interest rates are working to ease price pressures in Canada and inflation is coming down, though progress to the 2% target is slow. The Bank projects that inflation will stay around 3½% until the middle of 2024, returning to target in 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
October 16, 2023 Business Outlook Survey—Third Quarter of 2023 Results from the Business Outlook Survey for the third quarter of 2023, along with those from the July, August and September 2023 Business Leaders’ Pulse surveys suggest that on balance, firms are still planning to make larger and more frequent price increases than they did before the COVID-19 pandemic. Further, businesses' outlook for demand has continued to weaken as higher interest rates impact the economy. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
October 16, 2023 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Third Quarter of 2023 Consumers’ perceptions of current inflation remain elevated and are diverging from actual inflation. Perceptions of high inflation are also leading to persistently high expectations for inflation over the next 12 months. Consumers’ expectations for interest rates one year from now also remain high, and many consumers believe that the impacts of higher interest rates on their household spending are far from over. Homeowners with a variable-rate mortgage are more likely than other consumers to report being worse off due to high interest rates. Consumers’ plans to purchase services, such as vacations or concerts, are more widespread than plans to make major purchases of goods that are likely to be financed with loans, such as vehicles or appliances. Workers are reporting signs of job market cooling, such as more time spent looking for a new job, but they remain confident about the labour market. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
September 20, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of September 6, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on September 6, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations