Gazing at r-star: A Hysteresis Perspective Staff Working Paper 2023-5 Paul Beaudry, Katya Kartashova, Césaire Meh Many explanations for the decline in real interest rates over the last 30 years point to the role that population aging or rising income inequality plays in increasing the long-run aggregate demand for assets. Notwithstanding the importance of such factors, the starting point of this paper is to show that the major change driving household asset demand over this period is instead an increased desire—for a given age and income level—to hold assets. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E3, E31, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58, E6, E62, G, G5, G51, H, H6
September 20, 2022 Macroeconomics of the 2020s: What we’ve learned, and what’s to come Remarks Paul Beaudry University of Waterloo Faculty of Arts Distinguished Lecture in Economics Waterloo, Ontario Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry discusses the macroeconomic lessons we’ve learned during the COVID-19 pandemic, and what lies ahead to bring inflation back to target. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy implementation, Recent economic and financial developments
September 20, 2022 Anatomy of a pandemic: Applying old lessons and learning from new ones Speech summary Paul Beaudry University of Waterloo Faculty of Arts Distinguished Lecture in Economics Waterloo, Ontario Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry describes how the lessons learned from previous economic crises helped central bankers during the global COVID-19 pandemic. He also talks about how managing inflation expectations can help bring inflation back to target. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy implementation, Recent economic and financial developments
A Horse Race of Monetary Policy Regimes: An Experimental Investigation Staff Working Paper 2022-33 Olena Kostyshyna, Luba Petersen, Jing Yang How should central banks design monetary policy in stable times and during recessions? We run a horse race between five monetary policy frameworks in an experimental laboratory to assess how well the different approaches can manage the public’s expectations and stabilize the economy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): C, C9, D, D8, D84, E, E5, E52, E58
June 2, 2022 Economic progress report: Navigating a high inflation environment Remarks (delivered virtually) Paul Beaudry Gatineau Chamber of Commerce Gatineau, Quebec Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and the importance of keeping inflation expectations well anchored to prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
June 2, 2022 Navigating high inflation Speech summary Paul Beaudry Gatineau Chamber of Commerce Gatineau, Quebec On June 1, the Bank of Canada decided to increase its policy interest rate by half a percentage point. Speaking the next day, Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry explains why inflation has been higher than expected and what we are doing to get it back to our 2% target. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
May 3, 2022 The Bank of Canada: A matter of trust Remarks Carolyn Rogers Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses how the Bank of Canada’s independence and accountability help build public trust. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credibility, Inflation targets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments
May 3, 2022 Earning the trust of Canadians Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario In her first speech with the Bank of Canada, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about how independence and accountability help the Bank build and maintain trust. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credibility, Inflation targets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments
March 3, 2022 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
On the Wedge Between the PPI and CPI Inflation Indicators Staff Working Paper 2022-5 Shang-Jin Wei, Yinxi Xie We find that the CPI and PPI inflation indexes co-moved strongly throughout the late 20th century, but their correlation has fallen substantially since the early 2000s. We offer a structural explanation for this divergence based on the growth of global supply chains since 2000. This finding offers a unique perspective for the future design of optimal monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E58, F, F1, F11, F12, F4, F41, F6, F62