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538
result(s)
Bank Lending, Credit Shocks, and the Transmission of Canadian Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2003-9
Joseph Atta-Mensah,
Ali Dib
The authors use a dynamic general-equilibrium model to study the role financial frictions play as a transmission mechanism of Canadian monetary policy, and to evaluate the real effects of exogenous credit shocks. Financial frictions, which are modelled as spreads between deposit and loan interest rates, are assumed to depend on economic activity as well as on credit shocks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E4,
E5,
E51
A Comparison of Twelve Macroeconomic Models of the Canadian Economy
Technical Report No. 94
Denise Côté,
John Kuszczak,
Jean-Paul Lam,
Ying Liu,
Pierre St-Amant
In this report, the authors examine and compare twelve private and public sector models of the Canadian economy with respect to their paradigm, structure, and dynamic properties. These open-economy models can be grouped into two economic paradigms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
E,
E5,
E52,
E58
December 20, 2002
Transparency and the Response of Interest Rates to the Publication of Macroeconomic Data
The benefits of transparency—the outcome of the measures taken by the central bank to allow financial markets and economic agents to understand the factors it takes into account in formulating monetary policy—are now widely recognized. These benefits include smoother implementation of monetary policy and increased effectiveness as markets improve their ability to anticipate the Bank's policy decisions and account for them in their operations. How interest rates respond to the publication of macroeconomic data depends on the degree of transparency in monetary policy, as the rates will rise or fall as a reflection of the market's revised expectations. Before the Bank of Canada adopted initiatives to improve transparency, such as the inflation-control targets, the semi-annual publication of the Monetary Policy Report and Updates, and the fixed announcement dates, changes to the overnight rate created some volatility in interest rates, and publishing Canadian macroeconomic data did not appear to have a major impact on rates. This article shows how the Bank of Canada's steps towards greater transparency have increased the impact of Canadian data on short-term interest rates and have improved financial markets' understanding of how monetary policy decisions are taken.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
The Impact of Common Currencies on Financial Markets: A Literature Review and Evidence from the Euro Area
Staff Working Paper 2002-35
Liliane Karlinger
This paper reviews both the theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of common currencies on financial markets and evaluates the first three years of experience with Economic and Monetary Union (EMU).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
F,
F2,
F21,
F3,
F36,
G,
G1,
G15
August 20, 2002
Information and Analysis for Monetary Policy: Coming to a Decision
This article outlines one of the Bank's key approaches to dealing with the uncertainty that surrounds decisions on monetary policy: the consideration of a wide range of information from a variety of sources. More specifically, it describes the information and analysis that the monetary policy decision-makers—the Governing Council of the Bank of Canada—receive in the two or three weeks leading up to a decision on the setting of the policy rate—the target overnight interest rate. The article also describes how the Governing Council reaches this decision.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Monetary and financial indicators,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy implementation
August 19, 2002
Models in Policy-Making
This article examines another strategy in the Bank's approach to dealing with an uncertain world: the use of carefully articulated models to produce economic forecasts and to examine the implications of the various risks to those forecasts. Economic models are deliberate simplifications of a complex world that allow economists to make predictions that are reasonably accurate and that can be easily understood and communicated. By using several models, based on competing paradigms, the Bank minimizes policy errors that could result from relying on one view of the world and one philosophy of model design. The authors review some of the models currently used at the Bank, as well as the role of judgment in the projection process.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Economic models
Entrepreneurial Risk, Credit Constraints, and the Corporate Income Tax: A Quantitative Exploration
Staff Working Paper 2002-21
Césaire Meh
This paper describes the positive effect that corporate income tax has on capital formation in the presence of liquidity constraints and uninsurable risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Fiscal policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D3,
D31,
E,
E6,
E62,
H,
H2,
H20,
H23
Corporate Bond Spreads and the Business Cycle
Staff Working Paper 2002-15
Zhiwei Zhang
This paper examines the predictive power of credit spreads from the corporate bond market. The high-yield bond spread and investment-grade spread can explain 68 per cent and 42 per cent of output variations one year ahead, while the term spread based on government debts can explain only 12 per cent of them.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Monetary and financial indicators,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E5,
G,
G1
May 20, 2002
Trends in Productivity Growth in Canada
This article describes the major trends in the growth of labour productivity in Canada since the early 1960s and summarizes our current knowledge about the causes of the historical patterns. Particular attention is given to the period since the mid-1990s during which productivity growth has been significantly higher in the United States than in Canada. The author reviews the empirical evidence on the contribution of information and communication technology to the recent difference between Canadian and U.S. rates of productivity growth. Other determinants of a country's productivity performance, such as human capital formation and openness to international trade, are also examined. The article concludes with an assessment of the prospects for an increase in the trend rate of productivity growth in Canada over the coming years.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Productivity