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537
result(s)
Quantity, Quality, and Relevance: Central Bank Research, 1990–2003
Staff Working Paper 2005-37
Pierre St-Amant,
Greg Tkacz,
Annie Guérard-Langlois,
Louis Morel
The authors document the research output of 34 central banks from 1990 to 2003, and use proxies of research inputs to measure the research productivity of central banks over this period.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E59
MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy
Technical Report No. 96
Marc-André Gosselin,
René Lalonde
The analysis and forecasting of developments in the U.S. economy have always played a critical role in the formulation of Canadian economic and financial policy. Thus, the Bank places considerable importance on generating internal forecasts of U.S. economic activity as an input to the Canadian projection.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F1,
F17
The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting
Staff Working Paper 2005-34
Christopher Ragan
The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E50,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41
Uninsured Idiosyncratic Production Risk with Borrowing Constraints
Staff Working Paper 2005-26
Francisco Covas
The author analyzes a general-equilibrium model of a heterogeneous agents economy in which the agents are subject to borrowing constraints and uninsurable idiosyncratic production risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E22,
G,
G1,
G11,
M,
M1,
M13
April 22, 2005
Borders, Common Currencies, Trade, and Welfare: What Can We Learn from the Evidence?
Recent evidence indicates that the intensity of economic exchange within and across borders is significantly different: linkages are much tighter within, than among, nation-states. These findings, however, do not necessarily imply that borders and separate national currencies represent significant barriers to trade that should be removed, since the evidence is also consistent with the alternative hypothesis, that domestic exchange is more efficient because domestic producers are better able to satisfy the requirements of local consumers, owing to common tastes and institutions and the existence of local information and social networks. Focusing primarily on trade linkages within and between Canada and the United States, the authors review the evidence on the extent to which national borders lessen the intensity of international economic linkages, primarily trade in goods and services, and the effects on domestic welfare. They also examine the evidence on the impact of common currencies on trade and welfare. They determine that, since the empirical models employed to date in this research cannot distinguish between alternative explanations of the evidence, it is not yet possible to draw firm conclusions for policy-making.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
International topics,
Monetary policy framework
Recent Developments in Self-Employment in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2005-8
Nadja Kamhi,
Danny Leung
The authors document the recent evolution of the self-employment rate in Canada. Between 1987 and 1998, the self-employment rate rose 3.5 percentage points from 13.8 per cent to 17.3 per cent.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
J,
J2,
J23,
J24
December 20, 2004
The New International Monetary Order
Mark Carney, Senior Associate Deputy Minister, Department of Finance, Speech to the Toronto Society of Financial Analysts
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
November 24, 2004
Asset Prices and Monetary Policy: A Canadian Perspective on the Issues
The issue addressed in this article is the extent to which monetary policy in Canada should respond to asset-price bubbles. The article concludes that maintaining low and stable consumer price inflation is the best contribution that monetary policy can make to promoting economic and financial stability, even when the economy experiences asset-price bubbles. In extreme circumstances—when an asset-price bubble is well identified and likely to have significant costs to the economy when it bursts—monetary policy might better maintain low and stable consumer price inflation by leaning against a particular bubble even though it may mean that inflation deviates temporarily from its target. Such a strategy might reduce the risk that a crash in asset prices could lead to a recession and to inflation markedly below target in the longer run. The circumstances where this strategy is possible will be rare because economists are far from being able to determine consistently and reliably when leaning against a particular bubble is likely to do more harm than good. Housing-price bubbles should be a greater concern for Canadian monetary policy than equity-price bubbles, since rising housing prices are more likely to reflect excessively easy domestic credit conditions than are equity prices, which are largely determined in global markets.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary and financial indicators,
Monetary policy framework
The New Basel Capital Accord and the Cyclical Behaviour of Bank Capital
Staff Working Paper 2004-30
Mark Illing,
Graydon Paulin
The authors conduct a counterfactual simulation of the proposed rules under the new Basel Capital Accord (Basel II), including the revised treatment of expected and unexpected credit losses proposed by the Basel Committee in October 2003.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G21,
G28,
K,
K2,
K23