Uncategorized

• Can the Business Outlook Survey Help Improve Estimates of the Canadian Output Gap?

  Staff Discussion Paper 2020-14 Calista Cheung, Luke Frymire, Lise Pichette

  We investigate whether questions in the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey can provide useful signals for the output gap.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Economic models, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E3

• Towards a HANK Model for Canada: Estimating a Canadian Income Process

  Staff Discussion Paper 2020-13 Iskander Karibzhanov

  How might one simulate a million realistic income paths and compute their statistical moments in under a second? Using CUDA-based methods to estimate the Canadian earnings process, I find that the distribution of labour income growth is sharply peaked with heavy tails—similar to that in the United States.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Labour markets JEL Code(s): D, D3, D31, E, E2, E24, J, J3, J31

• Safe Payments

  Staff Working Paper 2020-53 Jonathan Chiu, Mohammad Davoodalhosseini, Janet Hua Jiang, Yu Zhu

  In a cashless economy, would the private sector invest in the optimal level of safety in a deposit-based payment system? In general, because of externalities, the answer is no. While the private sector could over- or under-invest in safety, the government can use taxes or subsidies to correct private incentives.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Digital currencies and fintech, Financial institutions, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, E5, E50, G, G2, G21
• December 10, 2020

  How quantitative easing works

  Speech summary Paul Beaudry Greater Moncton Chamber of Commerce, the Fredericton Chamber of Commerce, and the Saint John Region Chamber of Commerce Fredericton, New Brunswick, Moncton, New Brunswick, Saint John, New Brunswick

  Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry explains the Bank’s quantitative easing program and its role in the economic recovery. He also discusses the Bank’s decision yesterday to leave the policy rate unchanged.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission
• December 10, 2020

  Our quantitative easing operations: Looking under the hood

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Paul Beaudry Greater Moncton Chamber of Commerce, the Fredericton Chamber of Commerce, and the Saint John Region Chamber of Commerce Fredericton, New Brunswick, Moncton, New Brunswick, Saint John, New Brunswick

  Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and discusses how quantitative easing supports economic recovery and the 2% inflation target.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission
• December 9, 2020

  Bank of Canada will maintain current level of policy rate until inflation objective is achieved, continues its quantitative easing program

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases

• 2020 US Neutral Rate Assessment

  Staff Discussion Paper 2020-12 James Bootsma, Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, Christopher Hajzler, Argyn Toktamyssov

  This paper presents Bank of Canada staff’s current assessment of the US neutral rate, along with a newly developed set of models on which that assessment is based. The overall assessment is that the US neutral rate currently lies in a range of 1.75 to 2.75 percent.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Interest rates, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E4, E40, E43, E5, E50, E52, E58, F, F4, F41
• December 1, 2020

  CFEC Meeting #103 (December 1, 2020)

  Conference call

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee
• November 30, 2020

  Summary of Comments – Fall 2020 Debt Management Strategy Consultations

  Today, the Fall 2020 Debt Management Strategy Consultations Summary is being published in conjunction with the release of the Government of Canada’s Fall Economic Statement 2020.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
• November 30, 2020

  Operational details for upcoming secondary market purchases of Government of Canada securities (December 7-17)

  As previously announced, the Bank of Canada (the Bank) launched on April 1, 2020 a program to purchase Government of Canada securities in the secondary market – the Government Bond Purchase Program (GBPP).

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program