Inflation and prices

• September 29, 2025

  Why we target 2% inflation

  Inflation measures the rate of growth in prices, and the Bank of Canada aims to keep it at 2%. When inflation is low, stable and predictable, the entire economy works better.

  Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets
• September 23, 2025

  Global trade, capital flows and Canada’s prosperity

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership and the Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce Saskatoon, Saskatchewan

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses four megatrends that are transforming the global economic and financial landscape. He outlines how US tariffs are affecting the Canadian economy and what structural changes are needed to ensure Canada’s prosperity.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Foreign reserves management, Inflation and prices, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
• September 23, 2025

  Time to roll up our sleeves

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership and the Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce Saskatoon, Saskatchewan

  Governor Tiff Macklem outlines four megatrends that are transforming the global economic and financial landscape. He also talks about the structural reform needed to ensure Canada’s long-term prosperity.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Foreign reserves management, Inflation and prices, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration

• Credit Conditions, Inflation, and Unemployment

  Staff Working Paper 2025-26 Chao Gu, Janet Hua Jiang, Liang Wang

  We identify two channels that affect the relationship between inflation and unemployment. First, inflation lowers wages because unemployed suffer more from inflation than employed, generating a positive relationship. Second, inflation increases firms’ financing costs, generating a negative relationship. Improvements in firm financing conditions can induce the relationship to switch signs.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Inflation and prices, Labour markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E3, E31, E4, E44, E5, E51
• August 14, 2025

  The difference between a trade surplus and a trade deficit

  A trade surplus and a trade deficit are both measures of a country’s balance of trade. They are a calculation of whether a country exports or imports more.

  Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics

• Assessing tariff pass-through to consumer prices in Canada: Lessons from 2018

  Staff Analytical Note 2025-18 Alexander Lam

  US trade protectionism is making the economic outlook increasingly uncertain. To assess how consumer prices may respond to tariffs, we examine a tariff episode from 2018 using detailed microdata and the synthetic control method.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): E, E3, E30, E31, F, F1, F10, F13, F14
• June 18, 2025

  The impact of US trade policy on jobs and inflation in Canada

  Remarks Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the trade conflict with the United States has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is critical for jobs and growth, and important for prices and inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
• June 18, 2025

  Trade, jobs and inflation

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the trade conflict with the United States and how it is has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is important for jobs, growth and price stability in Canada.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
• June 11, 2025

  What is a tariff?

  A tariff is a tax on imports from another country. It can increase the prices consumers and businesses pay for that good.

  Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics
• March 20, 2025

  Navigating tariff uncertainty

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the US trade conflict and uncertainty is hurting business and consumer confidence. He also outlines what the Bank is doing to ensure the trade conflict doesn’t cause widespread or persistent inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration