November 22, 2022 Indicators of financial vulnerabilities Get quarterly data for the indicators we use to track the evolution of two vulnerabilities in the Canadian economy: the elevated level of household indebtedness and high house prices.
Variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments: Examining trigger rates Staff Analytical Note 2022-19 Stephen Murchison, Maria teNyenhuis We estimate the share of variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments that reached the so-called trigger rate—the interest rate at which mortgage payments no longer cover the principal. Amid rising interest rates, this share was close to 50% at the end of October 2022 and could potentially reach 65% in 2023. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial institutions, Interest rates, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D1, E, E4, E5, G, G2, G21
November 21, 2022 CARR Meeting (November 21, 2022) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
Are Working Hours Complements in Production? Staff Working Paper 2022-47 Lin Shao, Faisal Sohail, Emircan Yurdagul Using Canadian matched employer-employee data, we show that working hours of different workers are gross complements in production rather than perfect substitutes, as is typically assumed by macroeconomic models of production. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Labour markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E23, J, J2, J22, J23, J3, J31
November 18, 2022 The Government of Canada announces the issuance of a Ukraine Sovereignty Bond To offer Canadians an opportunity to directly support Ukraine, the Government of Canada announced that it will issue a Ukraine Sovereignty Bond. The five-year, $500 million bond, denominated in Canadian dollars, will be issued in late November 2022. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
Canada’s Beveridge curve and the outlook for the labour market Staff Analytical Note 2022-18 Alexander Lam Canada’s labour market is tight but beginning to ease. Unemployment will likely rise in turn, but the economy can avoid a recessionary surge given current conditions. Higher unemployment would nonetheless be material, especially for those directly impacted. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, J, J2, J20, J6, J63, J64
November 16, 2022 CFEC Meeting (November 16, 2022) CIBC Capital Markets Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee