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2995 Results

New Housing Registrations as a Leading Indicator of the BC Economy

Staff Discussion Paper 2016-3 Calista Cheung, Dmitry Granovsky
Housing starts and building permits data are commonly used as leading indicators of economic activity. In British Columbia, all new homes must be registered with the Homeowner Protection Office, a branch of BC Housing, before the issuance of building permits and the start of construction.

Potential output in Canada: 2024 assessment

We expect that potential output in Canada will grow by 2.3% and 2.5% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, and average slightly below 1.7% by 2027 as population growth moderates. Relative to the April 2023 assessment, growth is revised up in 2024, with a larger contribution from trend labour input due to higher-than-anticipated population growth. We revise down our estimates of growth over 2025–26.

Updated Methodology for Assigning Credit Ratings to Sovereigns

We update the Bank of Canada’s credit rating methodology for sovereigns, including our approach to assessing their fiscal position and monetary policy flexibility. We also explicitly consider climate-related factors.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Credit risk management, Foreign reserves management JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G2, G24, G28, G3, G32
September 9, 2021

Economic progress report: Monetary policy for the recovery

Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Fédération des chambres de commerce du Québec Montréal, Quebec
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and discusses how the Bank could adjust monetary policy and its quantitative easing program as the recovery progresses.
March 30, 1995

Uncertainty and the Transmission of Monetary Policy in Canada

Lecture Gordon Thiessen York University, Glendon College Toronto, Ontario
Just over seven years ago, my predecessor, John Crow, delivered the Hanson Memorial Lecture at the University of Alberta. In it, he discussed a number of issues relating to the conduct of Canadian monetary policy, including the goal of monetary policy, the transmission mechanism, the use of monetary aggregates as policy guides, financial market uncertainty, and the role of the exchange rate

Assessing the Implementation of the IMF's 2007 Surveillance Decision

Staff Discussion Paper 2009-6 Robert Lavigne, Garima Vasishtha
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently adopted the "2007 Decision on Bilateral Surveillance Over Members' Policies," a landmark reform that modernizes the general principles of IMF surveillance. However, support for the reform was not unanimous, and doubts have been expressed about how the Decision would be applied in practice. The authors assess the first year […]
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F33
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