July 6, 2020 Business Outlook Survey—Summer 2020 Results from the summer Business Outlook Survey suggest that business sentiment is strongly negative in all regions and sectors due to impacts from the COVID 19 pandemic and the drop in oil prices. Firms reported that weak demand is reducing both capacity pressures and expectations for price growth. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
Digitalization: Definition and Measurement Staff Discussion Paper 2023-20 Guyllaume Faucher, Stéphanie Houle This paper provides an overview of digitalization and its economic implications. We assess the scope of digitalization in Canada as well as the challenges related to its measurement. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Digitalization, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E0, E01, O, O3, O33, O5, O51
Monetary Shocks in the G-6 Countries: Is There a Puzzle? Staff Working Paper 1997-7 Ben Fung, Marcel Kasumovich This paper attempts to reduce the uncertainty about the dynamics of the monetary transmission mechanism. Central to this attempt is the identification of monetary policy shocks. Recently, VAR approaches that use over-identifying restrictions have shown success in isolating such shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, International topics, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58
Predicting Financial Stress Events: A Signal Extraction Approach Staff Working Paper 2014-37 Ian Christensen, Fuchun Li The objective of this paper is to propose an early warning system that can predict the likelihood of the occurrence of financial stress events within a given period of time. To achieve this goal, the signal extraction approach proposed by Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart (1998) is used to monitor the evolution of a number of economic indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behaviour in the periods preceding a financial stress event. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, C4, E, E3, E37, E4, E47, F, F3, F36, F37, G, G0, G01, G1, G17
Hedge Funds and Financial Stability: The State of the Debate Staff Discussion Paper 2007-9 Michael R. King, Philipp Maier The authors review the state of the debate on hedge funds and the potential threat that hedge funds pose to financial stability. The collapse of a hedge fund or a group of hedge funds might pose a systemic risk directly by damaging systematically important financial institutions, or indirectly by increasing market volatility and generating a […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies JEL Code(s): G, G1, G15, G18, G2
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Projections Economic growth in Canada is forecast to pick up gradually. Inflation is expected to remain around 2% as core inflation slows.
What to Expect When China Liberalizes Its Capital Account Staff Discussion Paper 2016-10 Mark Kruger, Gurnain Pasricha When China joined the World Trade Organization in December 2001, it marked a watershed for the world economy. Ten years from now, the opening of China’s capital account and the financial integration that will unfold will be viewed as a milestone of similar importance. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Exchange rate regimes, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F32, G, G1, G18
October 12, 2015 Integrating Financial Stability into Monetary Policy Remarks Stephen S. Poloz National Association for Business Economics Washington, D.C. Governor Poloz speaks about the Bank’s research agenda and how it supports efforts to integrate financial stability concerns into monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework
January 30, 2005 Annual Report 2004 The Bank of Canada has played an integral role in Canadian society for 70 years. When the Bank opened its doors in the spring of 1935, this country was struggling to define itself and to survive the economic and social turmoil of the Great Depression. Like Canada’s economy, its central bank has evolved and grown over the years. It has faced critical challenges and embraced change. But the Bank’s mandate has not changed. It is now, as it was then, to provide an effective, national monetary authority for Canada. Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
February 17, 2004 Policies for Changing Times Remarks David Dodge Mexican Business Coordinating Council Mexico City, Mexico We both share borders with the United States, the most important export market for each of us. Both Canada and Mexico have recently faced setbacks in cross-border trade with the United States. These stem not only from weaker U.S. domestic demand, but also from specific trade problems and from border-crossing delays associated with tighter security. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks