October 25, 2006 The Global Economic Landscape and the Implications for Ontario Remarks David Dodge 2006 Ontario Economic Leadership Summit Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario How can we develop human capital to its fullest potential, and retain that capital? How can we foster research, innovation, and commercialization in this province? How can we improve Ontario's competitiveness in the global marketplace? Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
The Financial Origins of Non-fundamental Risk Staff working paper 2022-4 Sushant Acharya, Keshav Dogra, Sanjay Singh We explore the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk to the rest of the economy. We also consider whether policy can be used to reduce this risk—either by increasing the supply of publicly backed safe assets or by reducing the demand for safe assets. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): D, D5, D52, D8, D84, E, E6, E62, G, G1, G10, G12 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Monetary policy, Monetary policy tools and implementation
September 14, 2010 Bundesbank Lecture 2010: The Economic Consequences of the Reforms Remarks Mark Carney Deutsche Bundesbank Berlin, Germany Keynes wrote prophetically of the economic consequences of the Treaty of Versailles. Could the same be said of current financial reforms? Are policy-makers taking for granted the essential role performed by finance in a vain pursuit of its risk-proofing? Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
August 12, 1998 The declining supply of treasury bills and the Canadian money market Bank of Canada Review - Summer 1998 Serge Boisvert, Nancy Harvey The supply of treasury bills has fallen considerably since 1995, reflecting a decline in the financing needs of the Canadian government and a change in its debt-management strategy. This has had a major impact on different segments of the money market. Among the various implications of this development, the authors point out the decrease in turnover and, hence, liquidity in the treasury bill market since 1995, as well as high rates of growth in the market for short-term interest rate derivatives and for short-term asset-backed securities. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2026 update Staff analytical paper 2026-21 Felipe Alves, William Beaudoin, Hélène Desgagnés, Wei Dong, Jan David Schneider, Eugene Trostin, Argyn Toktamyssov, Hannes Twieling We assess the Canadian nominal neutral rate to be in the range of 2.25% to 3.25%, unchanged from our assessment in 2025. We assess the US nominal neutral rate to be in the range of 2.50% to 3.50%, somewhat higher than the range of 2.25% to 3.25% reported in the 2025 assessment. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
The Size and Destination of China’s Portfolio Outflows Staff discussion paper 2018-11 Rose Cunningham, Eden Hatzvi, Kun Mo The size of China’s financial system raises the possibility that the liberalization of its capital account could have a large effect on the global financial system. This paper provides a counterfactual scenario analysis that estimates what the size and direction of China’s overseas portfolio investments would have been in 2015 if China had had no restrictions on these outflows. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, F, F2, F21, F3, F32, G, G1, G15 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
June 25, 2015 Building Trust, Not Walls: The Case for Cross-Border Financial Integration Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Windsor–Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the need to address cross-border obstacles to greater financial integration. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Understanding Systemic Risks in the Canadian Financial System Staff analytical paper 2026-28 Gabriel Bruneau, Sascha Clazie-Thomson, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp, Javier Ojea Ferreiro, Kerem Tuzcuoglu This paper reviews recent efforts to monitor and assess systemic risk in the Canadian financial system and outlines a framework for future system-wide stress testing. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): G, G0, G01, G1, G17, G18, G2, G21, G23, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk
September 25, 2026 Financial stability indicators Get quarterly data for the indicators we use to track the evolution of the financial stability of the Canadian economy.
Credit Crunches from Occasionally Binding Bank Borrowing Constraints Staff working paper 2017-57 Tom D. Holden, Paul Levine, Jonathan Swarbrick We present a model in which banks and other financial intermediaries face both occasionally binding borrowing constraints and costs of equity issuance. Near the steady state, these intermediaries can raise equity finance at no cost through retained earnings. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E3, E32, E5, E51, G, G2 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial institutions and intermediation, Household and business credit, Models and tools, Economic models