October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Canadian economy—Outlook Economic growth in Canada is forecast to pick up gradually and average 2¼% over the projection. Inflation is expected to remain near the 2% target.
October 6, 2016 Both progress and setbacks as economy adjusts, says Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins Media Relations Trois-Rivières, Quebec The Canadian economy is undergoing important, complex adjustments following the drop in oil prices over the past two years and in the context of the longer trends of population aging and modest productivity growth, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
February 24, 2015 Inflation Control Must Consider Financial Stability Concerns, Says Governor Stephen S. Poloz Media Relations London, Ontario Policymakers should heed history’s lessons as they reinvent central banking in the aftermath of the Great Recession, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. In the inaugural President’s Lecture at Western University, the Governor discussed the evolution of central bank policy and the need to promote both price and financial stability. Many central […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Integrating Non-traditional Data and AI into Central Banking: A Canadian Perspective Staff analytical paper 2026-17 James Chapman, Ajit Desai, Maryam Haghighi, James (Jim) C. MacGee This paper reviews how central banks are integrating non traditional data and artificial intelligence (AI) into policy analysis and operations. Using the Bank of Canada’s experience, it examines emerging applications, governance challenges, and strategic choices for responsibly scaling AI to enhance insight, efficiency, and institutional resilience. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): C, C4, C45, C5, C55, C8, C88, L, L2, L23, M, M1, M15, O, O3, O33 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Monetary policy, Monetary policy tools and implementation, Money and payments, Payment and financial market infrastructures
The Neutral Rate in Canada: 2019 Update Staff analytical note 2019-11 Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, José Dorich This note provides an update on Bank of Canada staff’s assessment of the Canadian neutral rate. The neutral rate is the policy rate needed to keep output at its potential level and inflation at target once the effects of any cyclical shocks have dissipated. This medium- to long-run concept serves as a benchmark for gauging the degree of monetary stimulus provided by a given policy setting. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E4, E40, E43, E5, E50, E52, E58, F, F4, F41 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
September 21, 2015 Riding the Commodity Cycle: Resources and the Canadian Economy Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Governor Poloz speaks about cycles in commodity prices and how Canada has used its endowment of natural resources to build a prosperous economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
What Can Earnings Calls Tell Us About the Output Gap and Inflation in Canada? Staff discussion paper 2023-13 Marc-André Gosselin, Temel Taskin We construct new indicators of demand and supply for the Canadian economy by using natural language processing techniques to analyze earnings calls of publicly listed firms. Our results indicate that the new indicators could help central banks identify inflationary pressures in real time. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C3, E, E3, E5 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
September 11, 2009 Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2009 Bank of Canada liquidity actions in response to the financial market turmoil; understanding corporate bond spreads using credit default swaps; review of the conflicts of interest between participants in the securitization process highlighting the most recent policy measures and potential solutions for ameliorating these agency issues. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
Introducing Sparks at Bank Sparks at Bank article Sparks at Bank is a new platform for sharing insights, research and analysis from staff at the Bank of Canada. It’s designed for people who think deeply about the economy and policy but who also appreciate clarity and brevity. Content Type(s): Staff research, Sparks at Bank article