Perceived Unemployment Risks over Business Cycles Staff Working Paper 2025-23 William Du, Adrian Monninger, Xincheng Qiu, Tao Wang Aggregate consumption impacts of heightened job risks during recessions can arise either from ex-ante responses to the fear of unemployment or from ex-post consumption declines due to realized income losses. We use survey-based perceptions of job risk and actual labor market transitions to quantify the relative contributions of these two channels. We further show that belief stickiness limits the extent of ex-ante insurance against job risks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D1, D14, E, E2, E21, E7, E71, G, G5, G51
August 26, 2025 Bank of Canada Media Interview – El Financiero Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, gave an interview to Mexican newspaper El Financiero. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
August 26, 2025 Speech: Tiff Macklem, Governor 14:45 (ET) Mexico City, Mexico Content Type(s): Upcoming events
August 26, 2025 Inflation targeting: A framework for today and tomorrow Speech summary Tiff Macklem Bank of Mexico 100ᵗʰ Anniversary Seminar Mexico City, Mexico Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how inflation targeting became a leading strategy among central banks for maintaining price stability. He also talks about structural change ahead, shifts in global trade and ensuring monetary policy is fit for the future. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
August 26, 2025 Flexible inflation targeting in a shock-prone world Remarks Tiff Macklem Bank of Mexico 100ᵗʰ Anniversary Seminar Mexico City, Mexico Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how inflation targeting became a leading strategy for maintaining price stability and how the Bank of Canada is ensuring its monetary policy framework is fit for future challenges. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
August 26, 2025 Speech by Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada On Tuesday, August 26, 2025, Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak at the Bank of Mexico’s 100th Anniversary Seminar. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
August 22, 2025 Update: Senior Loan Officer Survey 10:30 (ET)The Senior Loan Officer Survey collects information on the business-lending practices of Canadian financial institutions. Content Type(s): Upcoming events
August 22, 2025 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2025 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2025 - For the period ended June 30, 2025, unaudited Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
August 21, 2025 Refusal or Revocation of Registration under the Retail Payment Activities Act (RPAA) This supervisory policy outlines the Bank of Canada’s (the Bank) powers and procedures to refuse to register applicants or revoke the registration of payment service providers (PSPs) based on the criteria established in the RPAA and its associated regulations. Content Type(s): Retail payments supervision materials, Supervisory policies Research Topic(s): Enforcement, Registration