Staff research, Publications

• McCallum Rules, Exchange Rates, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

  Staff Working Paper 2008-43 Antonio Diez de los Rios

  McCallum (1994a) proposes a monetary rule where policymakers have some tendency to resist rapid changes in exchange rates to explain the forward premium puzzle.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G12, G15

• Which Bank is the "Central" Bank? An Application of Markov Theory to the Canadian Large Value Transfer System

  Staff Working Paper 2008-42 Morten Bech, James Chapman, Rodney J. Garratt

  We use a method similar to Google's PageRank procedure to rank banks in the Canadian Large Value Transfer System (LVTS). Along the way we obtain estimates of the payment processing speeds for the individual banks.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, E, E5, E50, G, G2, G20

• Financial Constraints and the Cash-Holding Behaviour of Canadian Firms

  Staff Discussion Paper 2008-16 Darcey McVanel, Nikita Perevalov

  The proportion of assets held by the average Canadian firm in the form of cash has increased steadily since the early 1990s, and is now roughly twice as large as in 1990. The literature has established that the cash-holding behaviour of firms is highly correlated with financial constraints and firm characteristics.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Sectoral balance sheet JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11, G3, G32

• The Canadian Dollar and Commodity Prices: Has the Relationship Changed over Time?

  Staff Discussion Paper 2008-15 Philipp Maier, Brian DePratto

  The authors examine the impact of the recent run-up in energy and non-energy commodity prices on the Canadian dollar. Using the Bank of Canada's exchange rate equation, they find that the differences between the actual value of the Canadian exchange rate and the simulated values observed in 2007 are not historically large. Still, given that […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31
• October 25, 2008

  Senior Loan Officer Survey - Third-Quarter 2008

  Survey respondents reported widespread tightening in both the pricing and non-pricing dimensions of business-lending conditions. Respondents attributed the tightening of lending conditions mainly to the ongoing turmoil in credit markets and to concerns about the general economic outlook.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Senior Loan Officer Survey
• October 23, 2008

  Monetary Policy Report – October 2008

  

  Three major interrelated global developments are having a profound impact on the Canadian economy and making the outlook more uncertain than it was at the time of the July Monetary Policy Report Update.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report

• Are There Canada-U.S. Differences in SME Financing?

  Staff Working Paper 2008-41 Danny Leung, Césaire Meh, Yaz Terajima

  Previous surveys of Canadian and U.S. business owners suggest that access to financing in Canada may be more problematic than in the United States. Using the 2003 Survey of Small Business Financing in the United States and the 2004 Survey on Financing of Small and Medium Enterprises in Canada, this paper examines whether this perception can be better quantified.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial services JEL Code(s): C, C2, C21, G, G2, G21

• Price Level Targeting in a Small Open Economy with Financial Frictions: Welfare Analysis

  Staff Working Paper 2008-40 Ali Dib, Caterina Mendicino, Yahong Zhang

  How important are the benefits of low price-level uncertainty? This paper explores the desirability of price-level path targeting in an estimated DSGE model fit to Canadian data. The policy implications are based on social welfare evaluations.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52

• Import Price Dynamics in Major Advanced Economies and Heterogeneity in Exchange Rate Pass-Through

  Staff Working Paper 2008-39 Stephane Dees, Matthias Burgert, Nicolas Parent

  This paper aims at showing heterogeneity in the degree of exchange rate pass-through to import prices in major advanced economies at three different levels: 1) across destination markets; 2) across types of exporters (distinguishing developed economy from emerging economy exporters); and 3) over time.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, F, F3, F4, F41
• October 10, 2008

  Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2008

  Responses to the autumn survey indicate that the combination of weak U.S. demand, volatile financial markets, and slowing momentum in the West are weighing more heavily on business activity in Canada.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey