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2343
result(s)
Risk Premium, Variance Premium and the Maturity Structure of Uncertainty
Staff Working Paper 2012-11
Bruno Feunou,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Abderrahim Taamouti,
Roméo Tedongap
Expected returns vary when investors face time-varying investment opportunities. Long-run risk models (Bansal and Yaron 2004) and no-arbitrage affine models (Duffie, Pan, and Singleton 2000) emphasize sources of risk that are not observable to the econometrician.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G13
A Note on Central Counterparties in Repo Markets
Staff Discussion Paper 2012-4
Hajime Tomura
The author introduces a central counterparty (CCP) into a model of a repo market. Without the CCP, there exist multiple equilibria in the model. In one of the equilibria, a repo market emerges as bond dealers and cash investors choose to arrange repos in an over-the-counter bond market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G24
When Is It Less Costly for Risky Firms to Borrow? Evidence from the Bank Risk- Taking Channel of Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2012-10
Teodora Paligorova,
João Santos
In an investigation of banks’ loan pricing policies in the United States over the past two decades, this study finds supporting evidence for the bank risk-taking channel of monetary policy. We show that banks charge lower spreads when they lend to riskier borrowers relative to the spreads they charge on loans to safer borrowers in periods of low short-term rates compared to periods of high short-term rates.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G21
Central Bank Communication or the Media’s Interpretation: What Moves Markets?
Staff Working Paper 2012-9
Scott Hendry
The goal of this paper is to investigate what type of information from Bank of Canada communication statements or the market commentary based on these statements has a significant effect on the volatility or level of returns in a short-term interest rate market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E58,
G,
G1,
G14
A Framework to Assess Vulnerabilities Arising from Household Indebtedness Using Microdata
Staff Discussion Paper 2012-3
Ramdane Djoudad
Rising levels of household indebtedness have created concerns about the vulnerabilities of households to adverse economic shocks and the impact on financial stability. To assess these risks, the author presents a formal stress-testing framework that uses microdata to simulate how various economic shocks affect the distribution of the debt-service ratio (DSR) for the household sector.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
C3,
C31,
D,
D1,
D14,
E,
E5,
E51
Growth in Emerging Market Economies and the Commodity Boom of 2003–2008: Evidence from Growth Forecast Revisions
Staff Working Paper 2012-8
Elif Arbatli,
Garima Vasishtha
Demand for industrial raw materials from emerging economies, particularly emerging Asia, is widely believed to have fueled the surge in oil and industrial commodity prices during 2002-2008. The paper first presents a simple storage model in which commodity prices respond to market participant’s changing expectations of the future macroeconomic environment.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
Q,
Q4,
Q41,
Q43
Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models
Staff Working Paper 2012-7
Claudia Godbout,
Marco J. Lombardi
While the usefulness of factor models has been acknowledged over recent years, little attention has been devoted to the forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor models over different samples, including the recent financial crisis.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C50,
C53,
E,
E3,
E37,
E4,
E47
Macroprudential Rules and Monetary Policy when Financial Frictions Matter
Staff Working Paper 2012-6
Jeannine Bailliu,
Césaire Meh,
Yahong Zhang
This paper examines the interaction between monetary policy and macroprudential policy and whether policy makers should respond to financial imbalances. To address this issue, we build a dynamic general equilibrium model that features financial market frictions and financial shocks as well as standard macroeconomic shocks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E50,
E6,
E60
February 23, 2012
What Explains Trends in Household Debt in Canada?
Similar to the experiences in many other countries, household indebtedness in Canada has exhibited an upward trend over the past 30 years. Both mortgage and non-mortgage (consumer) credit have contributed to this development. In this article, the authors use microdata to highlight the main factors underlying the strong trend increase since the late 1990s. Favourable housing affordability, owing to factors such as income growth and low interest rates, has supported significant increases in home-ownership rates and mortgage debt. Much of the rise in consumer credit has been facilitated by higher housing values (used as collateral for loans) and financial innovation that makes it easier for households to access this credit.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D12,
D14,
E,
E5,
E51