Claudia Godbout

Director

Claudia is the Director of the Projection division in the Canadian Economic Analysis (CEA) Department’s Projection Division. Her work focuses on the forecast of the Canadian economy. Claudia also worked in the emerging market division of the International Department between 2008 and 2013. Her main areas of interest include macroeconomic, forecasting and international topics.

Claudia holds a master’s degree in economics from Laval University.

Contact

Director
Canadian Economic Analysis
Projection

Bank of Canada
234 Wellington Street
Ottawa, ON, K1A 0G9

Latest

What Is Restraining Non-Energy Export Growth?

This note summarizes the key findings from Bank of Canada staff analytical work examining the reasons for the recent weakness in Canadian non-energy exports. Canada steadily lost market share in US non-energy imports between 2002 and 2017, mostly reflecting continued and broad-based competitiveness losses.
May 17, 2012

On the Adjustment of the Global Economy

This article discusses three scenarios for the adjustment of the global economy. In a “baseline” scenario—which encompasses fiscal consolidation in major advanced economies, growth-friendly structural reforms in Europe and Japan, and greater exchange rate flexibility and reforms in the emerging-market economies of Asia to induce rotation of demand away from net exports—global current account imbalances […]

Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models

Staff Working Paper 2012-7 Claudia Godbout, Marco J. Lombardi
While the usefulness of factor models has been acknowledged over recent years, little attention has been devoted to the forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor models over different samples, including the recent financial crisis.

Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI

Staff Discussion Paper 2010-3 Claudia Godbout, Jocelyn Jacob
The forecast of world economic growth plays a key role in the conduct of Canadian monetary policy. In this context, the authors study the usefulness of the monthly Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) in predicting short-term real GDP growth in the euro area, Japan, the United Kingdom, and China, as well as in the world economy.

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Education

Master’s degree in economics from Laval University.

Research Interests

  • Macroeconomic
  • forecasting
  • international macroeconomics

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