Inflation and prices

• Changes in the Inflation Process in Canada: Evidence and Implications

  Staff Working Paper 1995-5 Doug Hostland

  The Canadian economy is currently in transition from a period of disinflation to one with a very low and relatively stable inflation rate. Against this background, the author asks whether reduced-form parameters should be expected to be invariant to changes in the inflation process. This raises two empirical issues. The first relates to whether shifts […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices

• Deriving Agents' Inflation Forecasts from the Term Structure of Interest Rates

  Staff Working Paper 1995-1 Christopher Ragan

  In this paper, the author uses the term structure of nominal interest rates to construct estimates of agents' expectations of inflation over several medium-term forecast horizons. The Expectations Hypothesis is imposed together with the assumption that expected future real interest rates are given by current real rates. Under these maintained assumptions, it is possible to […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Interest rates

• Measurement Biases in the Canadian CPI

  Technical Report No. 64 Allan Crawford

  The consumer price index (CPI) may be an imperfect measure of changes in the cost of living owing to measurement biases known as commodity substitution bias, new goods bias, quality bias and outlet substitution bias. When the sum of these individual biases is positive, the rate of change in the CPI overstates the increase in […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31

• Monetary Policy, Uncertainty and the Presumption of Linearity

  Technical Report No. 63 Douglas Laxton, David Rose, Robert Tetlow

  This report shows that extreme conditions and volatility in markets are much more likely to result from systematic policy errors in gauging and responding to inflationary pressures in an economy than from unfortunate random shocks. We describe a simple model that incorporates the key features of the policy control process. We use two versions of […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52

• Wage and Price Dynamics in Canada

  Technical Report No. 56 Barry Cozier

  This paper examines wage and price dynamics in Canada with a view towards testing the implications of a wage-price dynamics, according to which unit labour costs are determined by a wage Phillips curve while prices are set as a markup over unit labour costs. This model is compared to an alternative model in which excess […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, C52, E, E2, E24, E3, E31

• Asset Stocks and the Use of Monetary and Fiscal Policies to Reduce Inflation

  Technical Report No. 35 Paul Masson

  This paper analyzes the dynamic behaviour of a country's economy under different policy regimes, by examining the cyclical effects that occur when certain intermediate macroeconomic targets are adopted. To highlight the differences in the adjustment paths that result, the study deliberately limits policy choice: either money supply or nominal income as targets, and either real […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E6, E63