July 21, 2025 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Second Quarter of 2025 Overall, results of the second-quarter 2025 survey show that the CSCE indicator—a measure developed to summarize the opinions of Canadian consumers—declined again this quarter as spending intentions continued to weaken due to the persistent threats of tariffs and related uncertainty. Consumers still see the labour market as soft, and their fear of job loss is elevated. The trade conflict is leading consumers to become increasingly cautious about their spending plans and to change their spending behaviour. Consumers’ short-term inflation expectations have changed little since increasing markedly in the first quarter of 2025. This quarter, more consumers cited tariffs as the most important factor affecting the Bank of Canada’s ability to control inflation. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
July 21, 2025 Release: Business Outlook Survey and Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations 10:30 (ET) The Business Outlook Survey is a summary of interviews conducted by the Bank's regional offices with business leaders from about 100 firms, selected in accordance with the composition of Canada's gross domestic product. The Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations is a quarterly survey aimed at measuring household views of inflation, the labour market and household finances, as well as topical issues of interest to the Bank of Canada. Content Type(s): Upcoming events
July 17, 2025 Discontinuation of one-month treasury bill As announced in the 2025-26 Debt Management Strategy, the Government of Canada will be discontinuing the one-month treasury bill. This is in line with the policy intent to introduce it on a temporary basis as previously outlined in the federal 2024 Budget and a market notice. The last one-month treasury bill auction will occur on 29 July 2025. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
July 17, 2025 How economic uncertainty disrupts investment Business investment plays a pivotal role in economic growth. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Research Topic(s): Expectations, International topics, Price stability, Productivity, Trade integration
July 17, 2025 Canadian Financial Sector Resiliency Group Canadian Financial Sector Resiliency Group (CFRG) is a public-private partnership led by the Bank of Canada that is designed to strengthen the financial sector’s critical infrastructure against risks to business operations, including cyber incidents. Find out about our mandate, membership, or contact us.
Synthesizing Signals from the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations Staff Discussion Paper 2025-11 Jacob Dolinar, Patrick Sabourin, Matt West We introduce the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations indicator. This indicator provides a summary measure of consumer opinions that we can track over time. We construct three underlying sub-indexes—financial health, labour market and consumer spending—that capture different factors influencing consumers’ daily lives. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, D8, D84, E, E2, E21, E3, E32, E7, E71
July 11, 2025 Retail payments supervision: Upcoming events Access a list of our information sessions—and find out how to sign up.
How will mortgage payments change at renewal? An updated analysis Staff Analytical Note 2025-21 Claudia Godbout, Adam Su, Yang Xu We update an assessment of potential changes in payments that mortgage holders could face at renewal in 2025 and 2026. We use an enhanced dataset (RESL2) that provides a more accurate starting point for mortgage balances. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing, Interest rates, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, D14, G, G2, G21, G28, R, R2, R20