A Portfolio-Balance Model of Inflation and Yield Curve Determination Staff working paper 2020-6 Antonio Diez de los Rios How does the supply of nominal government debt affect the macroeconomy? To answer this question, we propose a portfolio-balance model of the yield curve in which inflation is determined through an interest rate rule. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E5, E52, G, G1, G12, H, H6, H63 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Monetary policy tools and implementation
March 9, 2020 Bank of Canada announces members of Advisory Council for next $5 bank note Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The independent Advisory Council will develop a short list of iconic Canadians who could be featured on the next bank note. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
IMPACT: The Bank of Canada’s International Model for Projecting Activity Technical report No. 116 Patrick Blagrave, Claudia Godbout, Justin-Damien Guénette, René Lalonde, Nikita Perevalov We present the structure and features of the International Model for Projecting Activity (IMPACT), a global semi-structural model used to conduct projections and policy analysis at the Bank of Canada. Major blocks of the model are developed based on the rational error correction framework of Kozicki and Tinsley (1999), which allows the model to strike a balance between theoretical structure and empirical performance. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports JEL Code(s): C, C6, C68, E, E2, E27, E3, E37, F, F0, F01, F3, F32, F4, F47 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
Identifying Consumer-Welfare Changes when Online Search Platforms Change Their List of Search Results Staff working paper 2020-5 Ryan Martin Online shopping is often guided by search platforms. Consumers type keywords into query boxes, and search platforms deliver a list of products. Consumers' attention is limited, and exhaustive searches are often impractical. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, D, D1, D11, D12, D6, D8, D83, L, L4, L40 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market structure, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods
March 6, 2020 Evaluating our approach to monetary policy James (Jim) C. MacGee, Rhys R. Mendes Inflation targeting has been successful in Canada over the past 30 years. But is it the best we can do? The Bank of Canada asks itself, and Canadians, that question every five years. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
March 5, 2020 Labour market is key to Canada’s resilience Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about how the labour market is a key source of resilience for Canada’s economy and reviews the Bank of Canada’s decision to lower interest rates. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
March 5, 2020 Advisory Council for the next $5 bank note Meet the Advisory Council who developed the short list of iconic Canadians.
March 5, 2020 Economic Progress Report: We All Have Work to Do Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement as well as Canada’s labour market—an important source of economic resilience. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework