Channels of Transmission: How Mortgage Rates Affect House Prices and Rents in Canada Staff analytical paper 2026-2 Nishaad Rao, Tao Wang We use Canadian data to examine how monetary policy affects house prices and the consumer price index for rent through exogenous changes in the mortgage interest rates. It finds that the price and rent impacts operate through various channels and that these impacts vary by region. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, R, R2, R21 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
COVID-19, Containment and Consumption Staff discussion paper 2022-5 Tatjana Dahlhaus, Daniel Hyun, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Jaime Trujillo, Saarah Sheikh, Benjamin Straus We assess the impact of COVID-19 on consumption indicators by estimating the effects of government-mandated containment measures and of the willingness of individuals to voluntarily physically distance to prevent contagion. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, D, D1, D12, E, E6, E65, I, I1, I18 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
Liquidity Usage and Payment Delay Estimates of the New Canadian High Value Payments System Staff discussion paper 2020-9 Francisco Rivadeneyra, Nellie Zhang As part of modernizing its core payments infrastructure, Canada will replace the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) with a new Real-Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) system called Lynx. An important question for policy-makers is how Lynx should be designed. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, E, E4, E42, E5, E58 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Funds management, Money and payments, Payment and financial market infrastructures
May 14, 2015 Fine-Tuning the Framework for the Bank’s Market Operations Remarks Lynn Patterson CFA Society Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses proposed changes to the Bank’s financial market operations. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
March 21, 2024 Going back to normal: The Bank of Canada’s balance sheet after quantitative tightening Remarks Toni Gravelle CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle provides an update on quantitative tightening and talks about how the Bank of Canada will manage its balance sheet once normalization ends. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Funds management
What has been putting upward pressure on CORRA? Staff analytical note 2024-4 Boran Plong, Neil Maru From the autumn of 2023 into early 2024, the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA), a measure of the cost of overnight general collateral Canadian dollar repos, was consistently well above the Bank’s target for the overnight rate. We find that, among several factors, long bond positions that require repo financing are the main driver of the recent upward pressure on CORRA. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D4, D5, D53, E, E4, E43, E44, E5, E52, G, G1, G12 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Financial system, Financial institutions and intermediation, Monetary policy, Monetary policy tools and implementation
March 21, 2025 Administrative monetary penalties This supervisory policy provides an overview of the Bank of Canada’s administrative monetary penalties (AMPs) regime and how the Bank determines administrative monetary penalty amounts. Content Type(s): Retail payments materials, Supervisory policies Subject(s): Retail payments, Enforcement, Registration
June 14, 2012 The Resolution of Systemically Important Financial Institutions Financial System Review - June 2012 Alexandra Lai, Adi Mordel Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles
Estimation and Inference for Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy-Tailed Distributions Staff working paper 2026-8 Gabriel Rodriguez Rondon, Jean-Marie Dufour, Md. Nazmul Ahsan Statistical inference--both estimation and testing--for stochastic volatility (SV) models is known to be challenging and computationally demanding. We propose simple and efficient estimators for SV models with conditionally heavy-tailed error distributions, particularly the Student’s t and Generalized Exponential Distributions (GED). The estimators rely on a small set of moment conditions derived from ARMA-type representations of SV models, with an option to apply “winsorization” to improve stability and finite-sample performance. Except for the degrees of-freedom parameter, closed-form expressions are available for all other parameters, extending Ahsan and Dufour (2019, 2021), thus eliminating the need for numerical optimization or initial values. We derive the estimators’ asymptotic distribution and show that, due to their analytical tractability, they support reliable, and even exact, simulation-based inference via Monte Carlo or bootstrap methods. We assess their performance through extensive simulations and demonstrate their practical relevance in financial return data, which strongly reject the normality assumption in favor of heavy-tailed models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, C13, C15, C2, C22, C5, C51, C53, C58 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, International markets and currencies, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models
June 8, 2023 Economic progress report: Are we entering a new era of higher interest rates? Remarks Paul Beaudry Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry discusses the latest interest rate decision and suggests reasons why longer-term interest rates could remain higher than they were before the pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework