Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation Staff working paper 2018-10 Lise Pichette, Marie-Noëlle Robitaille, Mohanad Salameh, Pierre St-Amant We use a new real-time database for Canada to study various output gap measures. This includes recently developed measures based on models incorporating many variables as inputs (and therefore requiring real-time data for many variables). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E3, E37 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
November 20, 2003 Governor Says Low and Predictable Inflation Has Led to Better Labour Market Performance Media Relations St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador On the 25th anniversary of the end of wage and price controls under the Anti-Inflation Board, Governor David Dodge today explored the effects of low inflation on the performance of Canadian labour markets. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
What Can Earnings Calls Tell Us About the Output Gap and Inflation in Canada? Staff discussion paper 2023-13 Marc-André Gosselin, Temel Taskin We construct new indicators of demand and supply for the Canadian economy by using natural language processing techniques to analyze earnings calls of publicly listed firms. Our results indicate that the new indicators could help central banks identify inflationary pressures in real time. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C3, E, E3, E5 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
November 1, 2016 Inflation-target renewal helps give certainty in uncertain times, Governor Poloz says Media Relations Vancouver, British Columbia The renewal of the Bank of Canada’s framework for inflation targeting will help Canadian businesses and consumers by providing certainty around their financial plans, Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 30, 2017 Government of Canada direct securities and loans: Holdings of general public classified by remaining term to maturity (formerly G7) Month-end data on general public held unmatured direct securities (excluding retail instruments and perpetuals) and non-marketable securities by remaining term to maturity.
February 20, 2002 Bank of Canada Governor reviews Canada's experience with inflation targets and a flexible exchange rate Media Relations New York, New York In a speech to the Canadian Society of New York, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge said today that Canada's monetary policy framework, based on an explicit inflation-control target and a flexible exchange rate, "has contributed importantly to putting the Canadian economy back on the right path to longer-term prosperity." Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 8, 2006 Floating Dollar, Anchored Inflation: The Role of the Exchange Rate in Canada's Monetary Policy Framework Remarks Tiff Macklem Lunenburg Board of Trade Lunenburg, Nova Scotia The two key components of the Bank's monetary policy framework are an "anchor," the inflation target, and a "float," the flexible exchange rate. Living by the ocean, you know better than I that a good mooring is one that keeps a boat in place, yet allows some give and take for the wind and the tide. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Firms’ inflation expectations and price-setting behaviour in Canada: Evidence from a business survey Staff analytical note 2023-3 Ramisha Asghar, James Fudurich, Jane Voll Canadian firms’ expectations for high inflation may be influencing their price setting, supporting strong price growth and delays in the transmission of monetary policy. Using data from the Business Outlook Survey, we investigate the reasons behind widespread price growth seen in Canada in 2021 and early 2022. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D2, D22, E, E3, E31 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
September 16, 2014 Floating Loonie Essential to the Bank of Canada’s Inflation-Targeting Regime, Says Governor Stephen S. Poloz Media Relations Drummondville, Quebec The Bank of Canada's commitment to keep inflation low and stable requires that the value of the Canadian dollar be determined by markets, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today in Drummondville. The Bank of Canada fosters strong, sustainable economic growth by aiming to keep inflation at the 2 per cent midpoint of […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
April 15, 2006 Issues in Inflation Targeting: A Summary of the Bank of Canada Conference Held 28-29 April 2005 Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2006 Robert Amano, Raphael Solomon The Bank of Canada's 2005 conference focused on two critical issues: price-level targets versus inflation targets, and the appropriate level of inflation. Session topics included new methodological approaches to examining the validity of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for Canada; the monetary policy implications of border effects and the financial-accelerator model; the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; and inflation and welfare in general-equilibrium macroeconomic models. A panel of invited speakers discussed the issues of each session, and two distinguished speakers gave their perspectives on inflation. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles