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66
result(s)
The Business Leaders’ Pulse—An Online Business Survey
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-14
Tony Chernis,
Chris D'Souza,
Kevin MacLean,
Tasha Reader,
Joshua Slive,
Farrukh Suvankulov
This paper introduces the Business Leaders’ Pulse, a new online survey conducted each month. It is designed to provide timely and flexible input into the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy decision making by asking firms about their sales and employment growth expectations, the risks to their business outlook, and topical questions that address specific information needs of the Bank.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C83,
D,
D2,
D22,
E,
E3,
E32
Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Experimentation: Empirical Challenges and Insights from Academic Literature
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-9
Matteo Cacciatore,
Dmitry Matveev,
Rodrigo Sekkel
Central banks face considerable uncertainty when conducting monetary policy. The COVID-19 pandemic brought this issue back to the forefront of policy discussions. We draw from academic literature to review key sources of uncertainty and how they affect the conduct of monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E5
Household Heterogeneity and the Performance of Monetary Policy Frameworks
Staff Working Paper 2022-12
Edouard Djeutem,
Mario He,
Abeer Reza,
Yang Zhang
Consumption inequality and a low interest rate environment are two important trends in today’s economy. But the implications they may have—and how those implications interact—within different monetary policy frameworks are not well understood. We study the ranking of alternative frameworks that take these trends into account.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
D,
D3,
D31,
D5,
D52,
E,
E2,
E21,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
E58
Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy: A Thematic Review
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-2
Felipe Alves,
Christian Bustamante,
Xing Guo,
Katya Kartashova,
Soyoung Lee,
Thomas Michael Pugh,
Kurt See,
Yaz Terajima,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
The theory that rich economic diversity of businesses and households both affects and is shaped by economy-wide fluctuations has strong implications for monetary policy. This review places these insights in a Canadian context.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D25,
D3,
D31,
E,
E2,
E22,
E24,
E5,
E50,
E52
Secular Economic Changes and Bond Yields
Staff Working Paper 2021-14
Bruno Feunou,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine
We investigate the economic forces behind the secular decline in bond yields. Before the anchoring of inflation in the mid-1990s, nominal shocks drove inflation, output and bond yields. Afterward, the impacts of nominal shocks were much less significant.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
G,
G1,
G12
Qualitative Field Research in Monetary Policy Making
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-1
Chris D'Souza,
Jane Voll
Central banks conduct research involving in-depth interviews with external parties—but little is known about how this information affects monetary policy. We address this gap by analyzing open-ended interviews with senior central bank economic and policy staff who work closely with policy decision-makers.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C83,
E,
E3,
E37,
E5,
E52
Can the Business Outlook Survey Help Improve Estimates of the Canadian Output Gap?
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-14
Calista Cheung,
Luke Frymire,
Lise Pichette
We investigate whether questions in the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey can provide useful signals for the output gap.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3
Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool
Staff Working Paper 2020-13
Fabio Ghironi,
Galip Kemal Ozhan
We study a novel policy tool—interest rate uncertainty—that can be used to discourage inefficient capital inflows and to adjust the composition of external account between shortterm securities and foreign direct investment (FDI).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International financial markets,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
F,
F2,
F21,
F3,
F32,
G,
G1,
G15
The Power of Helicopter Money Revisited: A New Keynesian Perspective
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-1
Thomas J. Carter,
Rhys R. Mendes
We analyze money financing of fiscal transfers (helicopter money) in two simple New Keynesian models: a “textbook” model in which all money is non-interest-bearing (e.g., all money is currency), and a more realistic model with interest-bearing reserves.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Credibility,
Economic models,
Fiscal policy,
Inflation targets,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy and uncertainty,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E12,
E4,
E41,
E43,
E5,
E51,
E52,
E58,
E6,
E61,
E63