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2353
result(s)
The Role of Beliefs Entering and Exiting the Bitcoin Market
Staff Working Paper 2024-22
Daniela Balutel,
Christopher Henry,
Jorge Vásquez,
Marcel Voia
We develop a model that links investors’ decisions to enter or exit the Bitcoin market with their beliefs about the survival of Bitcoin. Empirical testing using Canadian data reveals that beliefs strongly influence both entries and exits, and this impact varies with time and ownership status.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
E,
E4,
E41,
O,
O3,
O33
Sources of pandemic-era inflation in Canada: an application of the Bernanke and Blanchard model
Staff Analytical Note 2024-13
Fares Bounajm,
Jean Garry Junior Roc,
Yang Zhang
We explore the drivers of the surge in inflation in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic. This work is part of a joint effort by 11 central banks using the model developed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to identify similarities and differences across economies.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
E3,
E31,
E37,
E5,
E52,
E6
Assessing the Impact of the Bank of Canada’s Government Bond Purchases
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-5
Chinara Azizova,
Jonathan Witmer,
Xu Zhang
In March 2020, the Bank of Canada implemented the Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program, eventually purchasing approximately $340 billion of government bonds. In this paper, we analyze the impact of this program on financial market prices and yields as well as on GDP and inflation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
E58,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28
Saving after Retirement and Preferences for Residual Wealth
Staff Working Paper 2024-21
Giulio Fella,
Martin B. Holm,
Thomas Michael Pugh
We estimate a model of households in Norway with bequest motives, health-dependent utility, and uncertain longevity and health. Our estimates imply strong bequest motives for households both with and without offspring. We interpret this as suggestive evidence that utility from residual wealth represents forces beyond an altruistic bequest motive.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Fiscal policy,
Housing,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D11,
D12,
D14,
E,
E2,
E21
Markups and Inflation in Oligopolistic Markets: Evidence from Wholesale Price Data
Staff Working Paper 2024-20
Patrick Alexander,
Lu Han,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov,
Ben Tomlin
We study how the interaction of market power and nominal price rigidity influences inflation dynamics. We find that pass-through declines with price stickiness when markets are concentrated, which implies a lower slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics,
Inflation and prices,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D43,
E,
E3,
E31,
L,
L1,
L13,
L8,
L81
Total factor productivity growth projection for Canada: A sectoral approach
Staff Analytical Note 2024-12
Dany Brouillette,
Tessa Devakos,
Raven Wheesk
We propose a tool that decomposes TFP growth into sectoral contributions. The analysis incorporates three structural factors—digitalization, aging and climate change policies—and measures their contributions. Overall, we expect that aggregate TFP growth will slow down in the 2020s below both its historical average and the average from the 2010s.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Digitalization,
Labour markets,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D24,
J,
J1,
J11,
O,
O3,
O33,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Decomposing Systemic Risk: The Roles of Contagion and Common Exposures
Staff Working Paper 2024-19
Grzegorz Halaj,
Ruben Hipp
We examine systemic risks within the Canadian banking sector, decomposing them into three contribution channels: contagion, common exposures, and idiosyncratic risk. Through a structural model, we dissect how interbank relationships and market conditions contribute to systemic risk, providing new insights for financial stability.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C51,
G,
G2,
G21,
L,
L1,
L14
Survey of Indigenous Firms: A Snapshot of Wages, Prices and Financing in the Indigenous Business Sector in Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-4
Calista Cheung,
James Fudurich,
Janki Shah,
Farrukh Suvankulov
What sources of financing do Indigenous-owned businesses in Canada use, and what are their expectations about prices, wages and inflation? We find Indigenous-owned firms are significantly less reliant on financial institutions as sources of financing compared with non-Indigenous firms. We also find Indigenous-owned firms have higher inflation expectations and weaker wage-growth expectations.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C83,
D,
D0,
G,
G3,
G38,
J,
J1,
J15
Financial Intermediation and Fire Sales with Liquidity Risk Pricing
Staff Working Paper 2024-18
Yuteng Cheng,
Roberto Robatto
We provide a theory of fire sales in which potential buyers are subject to liquidity shocks and frictions that limit their ability to resell assets. Viewed through the lens of the model, the liquidity requirements proposed by the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission for these intermediaries could hurt the economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G2,
G23,
G28