Zhenhua Zhu

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Staff Working Papers

Forecasting and Analyzing World Commodity Prices

Staff Working Paper 2003-24 René Lalonde, Zhenhua Zhu, Frédérick Demers
The authors develop simple econometric models to analyze and forecast two components of the Bank of Canada commodity price index: the Bank of Canada non-energy (BCNE) commodity prices and the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price. They present different methodologies to identify transitory and permanent components of movements in these prices.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5

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