Bio

Taylor Webley is Assistant Director of the Real Sector Stability (RSS) division in the Financial Stability Department.  He is responsible for overseeing work on financial stability issues related to Canada’s business and housing sectors, as well as potential links back to the macroeconomy.  Previously, he worked as Principal Economist in RSS, helping lead its ongoing assessments of household and business vulnerabilities, examining the drivers of mortgage arrears, and evaluating the state of household’s asset buffers. Prior to joining FSD in 2023, Taylor was Principal Economist in the Canadian Economic Analysis (CEA) Department where he worked on both the monitoring and projection teams and co-developed the department’s probabilistic nowcasting infrastructure. Taylor joined the Bank in 2013 as an Economist in International’s United States Division after completing his Master of Arts, Economics, at Queen’s University.


Staff analytical notes

Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales

Staff Analytical Note 2019-12 Mikael Khan, Taylor Webley
We use a recently developed model and loan-level microdata to decompose movements in housing resales since 2015. We find that fundamental factors, namely housing affordability and full-time employment, have had offsetting effects on resales over our study period.

Characterizing Canada’s Export Sector by Industry: A Supply-Side Perspective

Staff Analytical Note 2018-27 Taylor Webley
This note examines supply-side trends in Canadian non-energy industries and their implications for export performance. Between 2002 and 2016, capital stocks and total labour input declined in many industries that export non-energy goods. These soft trends in the factors of production have likely contributed to the decline in non-energy exports in about half of the goods industries analyzed in this note.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): International topics, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E23, E24, F, F1, F19

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Staff discussion papers

Fundamental Drivers of Existing Home Sales in Canada

Staff Discussion Paper 2018-16 Taylor Webley
Existing home sales’ share of Canada’s economic pie has been rising in recent years, and variation around this trend has resulted in outsized contributions to changes in real gross domestic product (GDP). In this context, we use a cointegration framework to estimate the level of resale activity across the Canadian provinces that is supported by fundamentals—namely, full-time employment, housing affordability and migration flows—to help look through the volatility.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Housing JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C23, E, E2, E27, R, R2, R21

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