Jamie Armour - Latest

• An Evaluation of Core Inflation Measures

  Staff Working Paper 2006-10 Jamie Armour

  The author provides a statistical evaluation of various measures of core inflation for Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31

• Taylor Rules in the Quarterly Projection Model

  Staff Working Paper 2002-1 Ben Fung, Dinah Maclean, Jamie Armour

  In recent years, there has been a lot of interest in Taylor-type rules. Evidence in the literature suggests that Taylor-type rules are optimal in a number of models and are fairly robust across different models.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52

• A Distant-Early-Warning Model of Inflation Based on M1 Disequilibria

  Staff Working Paper 1996-5 Joseph Atta-Mensah, Walter Engert, Scott Hendry, Jamie Armour

  A vector error-correction model (VECM) that forecasts inflation between the current quarter and eight quarters ahead is found to provide significant leading information about inflation. The model focusses on the effects of deviations of M1 from its long-run demand but also includes, among other things, the influence of the exchange rate, a simple measure of the output gap and past prices.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E3, E37, E5, E52

• Overnight Rate Innovations as a Measure of Monetary Policy Shocks in Vector Autoregressions

  Staff Working Paper 1996-4 Walter Engert, Ben Fung, Jamie Armour

  The authors examine the Bank of Canada's overnight rate as a measure of monetary policy in vector autoregression (VAR) models. Since the time series of the Bank's current measure of the overnight rate begins only in 1971, the authors splice it to day loan rate observations to obtain a sufficiently long period of data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52