E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

• Forecasting Canadian GDP: Region-Specific versus Countrywide Information

  Staff Working Paper 2005-31 Frédérick Demers, David Dupuis

  The authors investigate whether the aggregation of region-specific forecasts improves upon the direct forecasting of Canadian GDP growth.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C53, E, E1, E17

• Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics: Evidence from a Two-Dimensional Labour Supply Model with Money

  Staff Working Paper 2005-30 Ali Dib, Louis Phaneuf

  The hypothesis of intertemporal substitution in labour supply has a history of empirical failure when confronted with aggregate time-series data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Labour markets JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E2, E24, E3, E32, J, J2, J22

• Inflation and Relative Price Dispersion in Canada: An Empirical Assessment

  Staff Working Paper 2005-28 André Binette, Sylvain Martel

  The authors investigate empirically the relationship between different aspects of inflation and relative price dispersion in Canada using a Markov regime-switching Phillips curve.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E3, E31

• Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Identification-Robust Econometric Analysis

  Staff Working Paper 2005-27 Jean-Marie Dufour, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian

  The authors use identification-robust methods to assess the empirical adequacy of a New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) equation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C5, C52, E, E3, E31

• Uninsured Idiosyncratic Production Risk with Borrowing Constraints

  Staff Working Paper 2005-26 Francisco Covas

  The author analyzes a general-equilibrium model of a heterogeneous agents economy in which the agents are subject to borrowing constraints and uninsurable idiosyncratic production risk.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial institutions, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, G, G1, G11, M, M1, M13

• The Impact of Unanticipated Defaults in Canada's Large Value Transfer System

  Staff Working Paper 2005-25 Darcey McVanel

  Canada's Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) is designed to meet international risk-proofing standards at a minimum cost to participants in terms of collateral requirements.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E47, G, G2, G21

• The Effectiveness of Official Foreign Exchange Intervention in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Canadian Dollar

  Staff Working Paper 2005-21 Rasmus Fatum, Michael R. King

  The Bank of Canada is one of very few central banks that has made records of the intraday timing of its intervention operations available to researchers.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G14, G15

• La fonction de production et les données canadiennes

  Staff Working Paper 2005-20 Patrick Perrier

  This study has two aspects. First, the author examines the theoretical properties of the constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production function and the implications of this formulation for the properties of a structural macroeconomic model.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24, E, E2, E23, O, O4, O40

• Endogenous Central Bank Credibility in a Small Forward-Looking Model of the U.S. Economy

  Staff Working Paper 2005-16 René Lalonde

  The linkages between inflation and the economy's cyclical position are thought to be strongly affected by the credibility of monetary authorities.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E5, E52

• Learning-by-Doing or Habit Formation?

  Staff Working Paper 2005-15 Hafedh Bouakez, Takashi Kano

  In a recent paper, Chang, Gomes, and Schorfheide (2002) extend the standard real business cycle (RBC) model to allow for a learning-by-doing (LBD) mechanism whereby current labour supply affects future productivity.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Labour markets JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E3, E32, J, J2, J22