Perceived interconnections between Canadian banks and non-bank financial intermediaries under stress Staff Analytical Note 2025-26 Javier Ojea Ferreiro I study the links between Canadian banks and non-bank financial intermediaries (NBFIs) by observing co-movements in stock prices. Perceived interconnections increased before the COVID-19 pandemic but have since stabilized, with the strongest ties seen between large banks and NBFIs. The secured credit line extended to Home Trust, a non-bank mortgage lender that experienced severe funding stress in 2017, significantly reduced banks' risk exposure to NBFIs during this episode. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C5, C58, G, G0, G01, G2, G21, G23, G3, G32
November 13, 2025 CFEC Meeting (November 13, 2025) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee
Money Talks: How Foreign and Domestic Monetary Policy Communications Move Financial Markets Staff Working Paper 2025-33 Rodrigo Sekkel, Henry Stern, Xu Zhang We construct a dataset on Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada non-rate announcement events to provide novel insights into how foreign and domestic monetary policy communications affect the financial markets of open economies. We find that Fed non-rate communications have a stronger impact on long-term interest rates and stock futures, while Bank of Canada communications are relatively more important for short-term interest rates and the exchange rate. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Asset pricing, Central bank research, Exchange rates, Financial markets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G15
November 12, 2025 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of October 29, 2025 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on October 29, 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
November 12, 2025 Release of the Bank of Canada’s summary of deliberations On Wednesday, November 12, 2025, the Bank of Canada will publish a summary of the deliberations that took place ahead of its interest rate decision on October 29, 2025. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
November 10, 2025 Market Participants Survey—Third Quarter of 2025 The Market Participants Survey results are based on questionnaire responses from about 30 financial market participants. Content Type(s): Publications, Market Participants Survey
A Market-Based Approach to Reverse Stress Testing the Financial System Staff Working Paper 2025-32 Javier Ojea Ferreiro This article examines what market conditions lead to extreme losses in global financial systems. Using a reverse stress testing approach, it introduces two measures of systemic risk by starting from the tail losses and working backward to identify the events most closely associated with them. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C0, C02, C3, C32, C5, C58, G, G2, G21
November 6, 2025 Bank of Canada webcasts The John Kuszczak Memorial Lecture On Thursday, November 6, 2025, the Bank of Canada will host its annual economic conference. This year’s theme is “Central Banking and the Future of Payments”. Academics, policy-makers, private sector economists and representatives from policy think tanks will be among those in attendance. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories