Are Currency Crises Low-State Equilibria? An Empirical, Three-Interest-Rate Model Staff Working Paper 2006-5 Christopher Cornell, Raphael Solomon Suppose that the dynamics of the macroeconomy were given by (partly) random fluctuations between two equilibria: "good" and "bad." Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C6, C62, E, E5, E59, F, F4, F41
The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting Staff Working Paper 2005-34 Christopher Ragan The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation targets, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E5, E50, E52, F, F4, F41
A Structural VAR Approach to the Intertemporal Model of the Current Account Staff Working Paper 2003-42 Takashi Kano The intertemporal current account approach predicts that the current account of a small open economy is independent of global shocks, and that responses of the current account to country-specific shocks depend on the persistence of the shocks. The author shows that these predictions impose cross-equation restrictions (CERS) on a structural vector autoregression (SVAR). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Monetary aggregates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F4, F41
Real Exchange Rate Persistence in Dynamic General-Equilibrium Sticky-Price Models: An Analytical Characterization Staff Working Paper 2003-35 Hafedh Bouakez This paper assesses analytically the ability of dynamic general-equilibrium sticky-price models to generate persistent real exchange rate fluctuations. It develops a tractable general-equilibrium model with Calvo-type price stickiness. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41
Nominal Rigidity, Desired Markup Variations, and Real Exchange Rate Persistence Staff Working Paper 2002-26 Hafedh Bouakez This paper develops and estimates a dynamic general-equilibrium sticky-price model that accounts for real exchange rate persistence. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41
Currency Fluctuations, Liability Dollarization, and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets Staff Working Paper 2002-6 Patrick Osakwe Traditional models of exchange rate regimes ignore the destabilizing effects of sharp and unanticipated exchange rate movements. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, F, F3, F31, F4, F41
Real Effects of Collapsing Exchange Rate Regimes: An Application to Mexico Staff Working Paper 1999-10 Patrick Osakwe, Lawrence L. Schembri This paper examines the impact of a collapsing exchange rate regime on output in an open economy in which shocks to capital flows and exports predominate. A sticky-price rational expectations model is used to compare the variability of output under the collapsing regime to that under alternative fixed and flexible regimes. Output is found to […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41
Fiscal Policy and External Balance in the G-7 Countries Technical Report No. 60 Stephen S. Poloz This paper assesses evidence, from the G-7 countries, of a link between a country's fiscal policy and its external balance, often referred to as the "twin deficits" phenomenon. It begins by reviewing the stylized facts, and then examines the theoretical case for such a link. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Fiscal policy, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F4, F41, H, H6, H60
A VAR Analysis of Economic Interdependence: Canada, the United States, and the Rest of the World Technical Report No. 46 John Kuszczak, John Murray The authors use vector autoregression (VAR) modelling techniques to examine the response of the domestic economy to foreign influences and to quantify some of the concepts and relationships relating to economic interdependence. Particular attention is given to the dynamic behaviour and interactions of the U.S. and Canadian economies over the past twenty years. Extensive empirical […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F1, F15, F4, F41