March 5, 2020 Labour market is key to Canada’s resilience Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about how the labour market is a key source of resilience for Canada’s economy and reviews the Bank of Canada’s decision to lower interest rates. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
March 5, 2020 Economic Progress Report: We All Have Work to Do Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement as well as Canada’s labour market—an important source of economic resilience. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
December 5, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Charting Our Own Course Remarks Timothy Lane Ottawa Board of Trade Ottawa, Ontario Deputy Governor Timothy Lane talks about the different monetary policy paths taken by Canada and the United States over the last decade and reviews the Bank of Canada’s latest interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments
December 5, 2019 Canadian economy resilient despite global uncertainty Speech summary Timothy Lane Ottawa Board of Trade and Ottawa Business Journal Ottawa, Ontario Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates steady, Deputy Governor Timothy Lane explained that Canada’s economy remains resilient. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments
What Does Structural Analysis of the External Finance Premium Say About Financial Frictions? Staff Working Paper 2019-38 Jelena Zivanovic I use a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) with sign restrictions to provide conditional evidence on the behavior of the US external finance premium (EFP). The results indicate that the excess bond premium, a proxy for the EFP, reacts countercyclically to supply and monetary policy shocks and procyclically to demand shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E4, E44
September 5, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Inflation in Canada—Well Behaved and Well Controlled Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Halifax Regional Chamber of Commerce Halifax, Nova Scotia Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and the behaviour of inflation in Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments
September 5, 2019 Canadian economy resilient even as global outlook worsens Speech summary Lawrence L. Schembri Halifax Chamber of Commerce Halifax, Nova Scotia Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates steady, Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discussed the key points Governing Council considered in their decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments
The Impact of a Trade War: Assessment of the Current Tariffs and Alternative Scenarios Staff Analytical Note 2019-20 Karyne B. Charbonneau This note uses Charbonneau and Landry’s (2018) framework to assess the direct impact of the current trade tensions on the Canadian and global economies, as well as possible implications if the conflict escalates further. Overall, my findings show that the estimated impact of current tariffs on real gross domestic product (GDP) remains relatively small, which is in line with the literature on gains from trade, but the impact on trade is much larger. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): F, F1, F11, F13, F14, F15, F5, F50, F6, F62, F68
May 30, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Investing in Growth Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins talks about the importance of business investment to the Canadian economy and reviews the latest interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments
May 30, 2019 Economic progress depends on business investment Speech summary Carolyn A. Wilkins Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins talks about the importance of business investment to the Canadian economy and reviews the latest interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments