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United in Booms, Divided in Busts: Regional House Price Cycles and Monetary Policy

Staff working paper 2025-36 Ulrich Roschitsch, Hannes Twieling
This paper shows that regional disparities in house price growth are more pronounced during house price busts than during booms. To explain this observation we construct a two-region currency union model incorporating a housing sector and extrapolative belief updating regarding house prices. To solve the model, we propose a new method that efficiently handles extrapolative belief updating in a wide class of structural models.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52, F, F4, F45
December 10, 2025

Press Conference: Policy Rate Announcement – December 2025

Interest Rate Announcement — Press conference by Governor Tiff Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers (10:30 (ET) approx.).

December 10, 2025

Interest Rate Announcement

09:45 (ET)
On eight scheduled dates each year, the Bank of Canada announces the setting for the overnight rate target in a press release explaining the factors behind the decision.

Content Type(s): Upcoming events

Andrew D. Mutch

Andrew D. Mutch was appointed to the Bank of Canada’s Board of Directors in November 2025.
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