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85
result(s)
The Macroeconomic Effects of Non-Zero Trend Inflation
Staff Working Paper 2006-34
Robert Amano,
Steve Ambler,
Nooman Rebei
The authors study the macroeconomic effects of non-zero trend inflation in a simple dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with sticky prices.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
E3,
E32
June 21, 2006
Credibility with Flexibility: The Evolution of Inflation-Targeting Regimes, 1990–2006
Beginning with a review of the adoption of inflation targeting in a broad group of countries, Paulin focuses on changes in the design of inflation-targeting frameworks in light of fifteen years of accumulated experience. Included in the discussion are the use of numerical targets and ranges, the policy horizon, supporting institutional policy structures, and communication, including the publication of forecasts. A recurring theme is how much flexibility an inflation-targeting regime allows. The article concludes that the changes made to the frameworks have been relatively modest since their adoption, but in concert with the improved credibility that has resulted from central banks meeting their inflation-control targets, they have allowed an increasingly nuanced response to economic shocks.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Credibility,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
June 11, 2006
Evaluating Measures of Core Inflation
Since the Bank of Canada adopted inflation targeting in 1991, it has focused on a measure of core inflation as a shorter-term guide for monetary policy. When the targets were renewed in 2001, the Bank adopted CPIX as its measure of core inflation because of the advantages it offered. Leflèche and Armour review the experience with CPIX and whether the criteria used to select it in 2001 still favour the measure today. They describe the various measures of core inflation monitored by the Bank and evaluate them on the basis of the volatility of the components, the volatility of the core measures themselves, absence of bias relative to total CPI, predictive power, and certain practical criteria, including timeliness and credibility. They conclude that CPIX still satisfies all the empirical and practical criteria.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
June 2, 2006
Another Look at the Inflation-Target Horizon
The conduct of monetary policy within an inflation-targeting framework requires the establishment of an inflation-target horizon, which is the average time it takes inflation to return to the target. Policy-makers have an interest in communicating this horizon, since it is likely to help anchor inflation expectations. This article focuses on the determination of the appropriate policy horizon by reporting on two recent Bank of Canada studies. The evidence suggests that the current target horizon of six to eight quarters remains appropriate. It is important to note that the duration of the optimal inflation-target horizon varies widely, depending on the combination of shocks to the economy. In rare cases when the financial accelerator is triggered by a persistent shock, such as an asset-price bubble, it may be appropriate to take a longer view of the inflation-target horizon.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
April 15, 2006
Issues in Inflation Targeting: A Summary of the Bank of Canada Conference Held 28-29 April 2005
The Bank of Canada's 2005 conference focused on two critical issues: price-level targets versus inflation targets, and the appropriate level of inflation. Session topics included new methodological approaches to examining the validity of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for Canada; the monetary policy implications of border effects and the financial-accelerator model; the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; and inflation and welfare in general-equilibrium macroeconomic models. A panel of invited speakers discussed the issues of each session, and two distinguished speakers gave their perspectives on inflation.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
The Welfare Implications of Inflation versus Price-Level Targeting in a Two-Sector, Small Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2006-12
Eva Ortega,
Nooman Rebei
The authors analyze the welfare implications of simple monetary policy rules in the context of an estimated model of a small open economy for Canada with traded and non-traded goods, and with sticky prices and wages.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Exchange rates,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E32,
E5,
E52
The 1975–78 Anti-Inflation Program in Retrospect
Staff Working Paper 2005-43
John Sargent
The author provides an overview of the 1975–78 Anti-Inflation Program (AIP), in a background document prepared for a seminar organized by the Bank of Canada to mark the AIP's 30th anniversary.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credibility,
Fiscal policy,
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E63,
E64,
E65
Measurement Bias in the Canadian Consumer Price Index
Staff Working Paper 2005-39
James Rossiter
The consumer price index (CPI) is the most commonly used measure of inflation in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52
The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting
Staff Working Paper 2005-34
Christopher Ragan
The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E50,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41