High-quality, innovative research underpins everything we do. Explore the broad range of staff research that our people have the intellectual freedom to pursue, and learn about the ways in which the Bank collaborates with and supports the external research community.
You can also browse all our research and subscribe to our research newsletter and latest research feed.
Staff research
Staff research is produced independently from the Bank’s Governing Council. This research may support or challenge prevailing policy orthodoxy or differ from official Bank views. Therefore, views expressed are solely those of the authors, and no responsibility for them should be attributed to the Bank.
Staff analytical notes
Staff analytical notes are short articles that focus on topical issues relevant to the current economic and financial context.
Staff working papers
Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
Staff discussion papers
Staff discussion papers are completed staff research studies on a wide variety of subjects relevant to central bank policy.
Technical reports
Technical reports provide detailed descriptions of staff research project methodologies and model development.
Research leadership
Profiles of the Bank’s economic research leadership, featuring their publications, education, and research fields.
Research staff
Profiles of the Bank’s research staff, featuring their publications, education and research fields.
Authors
Listing of current and past authors of Bank research papers, articles and other publications, 1994 to present.
Collaboration
Financial System Research Centre
The FSRC promotes financial system research in Canada to inform policy and improve the economic and financial well-being of Canadians.
Visiting Scholar Program
This program provides outstanding scholars with an opportunity to work at the Bank of Canada.
Conferences and workshops
Papers and proceedings from Bank of Canada conferences and workshops
Partnerships in Innovation and Technology (PIVOT) Program
We’re looking for innovators to help us respond to challenges that may not have a commercial solution readily available.
Awards
Research paper awards
At the Bank of Canada, we’re pleased to offer awards for research papers by students and by staff.
Scholarship awards
The Bank of Canada’s Scholarship and Work Placement program is designed to assist students with disabilities and Indigenous students in furthering their education and to encourage them to take an interest in the work performed by the Bank of Canada.
Fellowship Program
Learn more about a program to foster excellence in research in Canada and develop partnerships with experts outside the Bank of Canada in areas important to the Bank’s mandate.
The Governor's Challenge
The Governor’s Challenge simulates the monetary policy decision-making process by putting students in the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council.
Browse research
Find Bank of Canada research by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.
Research newsletters
Our newsletter summarizes internal and external publication contributions by Bank of Canada researchers.
Latest research
Assessing global potential output growth: April 2024
Staff Analytical Note 2024-10
Amor Aniss Benmoussa,
Raheeb Dastagir,
Eshini Ekanayake,
Justin-Damien Guénette,
Helen Lao,
Jenna Rolland-Mills,
Aidan Spencer,
Lin Xiang
This note presents the annual update of Bank of Canada staff estimates for growth in global potential output. These estimates serve as key inputs to the analysis supporting the April 2024 Monetary Policy Report.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E2,
F,
F0,
O,
O4
Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2024 update
Staff Analytical Note 2024-9
Frida Adjalala,
Felipe Alves,
Hélène Desgagnés,
Wei Dong,
Dmitry Matveev,
Laure Simon
We assess both the US and Canadian nominal neutral rates to be in the range of 2.25% to 3.25%, somewhat higher than the range of 2.0% to 3.0% in 2023. The assessed range is back to the level it was at in April 2019.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E40,
E43,
E5,
E50,
E52,
E58,
F,
F4,
F41
Benchmarks for assessing labour market health: 2024 update
Staff Analytical Note 2024-8
Erik Ens,
Alexander Lam,
Kurt See,
Gabriela Galassi
We assess the health of the Canadian labour market. We find that it has seen gradual but material easing since 2023, amid some signs of structural changes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
J,
J2,
J3,
J6
The Neutral Interest Rate: Past, Present and Future
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-3
Matteo Cacciatore,
Bruno Feunou,
Galip Kemal Ozhan
The decline in safe real interest rates over the past three decades has reignited discussions on the neutral real interest rate, known as R*. We address the determinants and estimation methods of R*, as well as the factors influencing its decline and its future trajectory.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Interest rates,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E62