Posts

• June 19, 2024

  What you pay for at the pump

  

  Kun Mo

  Several factors help set gasoline prices: the costs of crude oil, refining, transporting, retailing and marketing gas, as well as taxes.

  Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing

• Impacts of interest rate hikes on the consumption of households with a mortgage

  Staff Analytical Note 2024-14 Panagiotis Bouras, Joaquín Saldain, Xing Guo, Thomas Michael Pugh, Maria teNyenhuis

  We assess how much the recent rate-hike cycle has and will affect mortgage borrowers' consumption through its impacts on mortgage payments. Our analysis provides insights into the effects of changes in monetary policy on the consumption of mortgage borrowers.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D1, D13, E, E2, E21, G, G5
• June 17, 2024

  CFEC Meeting (June 17, 2024)

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee
• June 17, 2024

  Significant adverse impact

  This supervisory policy provides an overview of what the Bank of Canada will consider when determining whether a “significant adverse impact” is occurring or has occurred.

  Content Type(s): Retail payments supervision materials, Supervisory policies Research Topic(s): Enforcement, Supervision
• June 17, 2024

  Roles and Responsibilities of the Executive Director and Managing Director

  This supervisory policy outlines the roles of the Executive Director of Payments, Supervision and Oversight and the Managing Director of Supervision. It also describes their responsibilities related to the Bank of Canada’s retail payments supervision mandate.

  Content Type(s): Retail payments supervision materials, Supervisory policies Research Topic(s): Enforcement, Registration, Supervision
• June 17, 2024

  Issuing public notice of decisions

  This supervisory policy provides details on the Bank of Canada’s issuing of public notice for certain retail payments supervision and prescribed review decisions.

  Content Type(s): Retail payments supervision materials, Supervisory policies Research Topic(s): Enforcement, Registration

• Non-Parametric Identification and Testing of Quantal Response Equilibrium

  Staff Working Paper 2024-24 Johannes Hoelzemann, Ryan Webb, Erhao Xie

  We show that the utility function and the error distribution are non-parametrically over-identified under Quantal Response Equilibrium (QRE). This leads to a simple test for QRE. We illustrate our method in a Monte Carlo exercise and a laboratory experiment.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, C5, C57, C9, C92
• June 17, 2024

  Enforcement tools

  This supervisory policy lists the enforcement tools the Bank could use if enforcement action is needed against individuals, entities and payment service providers.

  Content Type(s): Retail payments supervision materials, Supervisory policies Research Topic(s): Enforcement, Registration

• Demand for Canadian Banknotes from International Travel: Indirect Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

  Staff Working Paper 2024-23 Hongyu Xiao

  This study uses the COVID-19 travel restrictions to estimate foreign demand for Canadian banknotes. It reveals that international visitors accounted for about 10% of all $100 CAD notes in circulation pre-pandemic, with each visitor carrying an average of $165 in hundred-dollar bills.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Bank notes, Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial services, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E4, E41, E42, E5, E58, F, F2, F22

• The Role of Beliefs in Entering and Exiting the Bitcoin Market

  Staff Working Paper 2024-22 Daniela Balutel, Christopher Henry, Jorge Vásquez, Marcel Voia

  We develop a model that links investors’ decisions to enter or exit the Bitcoin market with their beliefs about the survival of Bitcoin. Empirical testing using Canadian data reveals that beliefs strongly influence both entries and exits, and this impact varies with time and ownership status.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Bank notes, Digital currencies and fintech, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): D, D8, D83, E, E4, E41, O, O3, O33