G14 - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

• Private Information Flow and Price Discovery in the U.S. Treasury Market

  Staff Working Paper 2011-5 George Jiang, Ingrid Lo

  Existing studies show that U.S. Treasury bond price changes are mainly driven by public information shocks, as manifested in macroeconomic news announcements and events. The literature also shows that heterogeneous private information contributes significantly to price discovery for U.S. Treasury securities.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14

• Text Mining and the Information Content of Bank of Canada Communications

  Staff Working Paper 2010-31 Scott Hendry, Alison Madeley

  This paper uses Latent Semantic Analysis to extract information from Bank of Canada communication statements and investigates what type of information affects returns and volatility in short-term as well as long-term interest rate markets over the 2002-2008 period.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, G, G1, G14

• Idiosyncratic Coskewness and Equity Return Anomalies

  Staff Working Paper 2010-11 Fousseni Chabi-Yo, Jun Yang

  In this paper, we show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on the idiosyncratic coskewness beta, which measures the co-movement of the individual stock variance and the market return.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11, G12, G14, G3, G33

• Information Shocks, Jumps, and Price Discovery - Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market

  Staff Working Paper 2008-22 George Jiang, Ingrid Lo, Adrien Verdelhan

  We examine large price changes, known as jumps, in the U.S. Treasury market. Using recently developed statistical tools, we identify price jumps in the 2-, 3-, 5-, 10-year notes and 30-year bond during the period of 2005-2006.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14

• Price Discovery in Canadian and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-43 Bryan Campbell, Scott Hendry

  This paper presents some new results on the price discovery process in both the Canadian and U.S. 10-year Government bond markets using high-frequency data not previously analyzed. Using techniques introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo-Granger (1995), we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices in the market for Canadian Government bonds using futures market data from the Montreal Exchange and OTC cash market data reflecting the inter-dealer market covered by CanPx.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G13, G14

• Price Formation and Liquidity Provision in Short-Term Fixed Income Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-27 Chris D'Souza, Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Differences in market structures may affect the manner in which fundamental information is incorporated into prices. High levels of quote and trade transparency plus substantial quoting obligations in European government securities markets ensure that prices are informationally efficient.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Interest rates, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14, G15

• Order Aggressiveness and Quantity: How Are They Determined in a Limit Order Market?

  Staff Working Paper 2007-23 Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Dealers trading in a limit order market must choose both the order aggressiveness and the quantity for their orders. We empirically investigate how dealers jointly make these decisions in the foreign exchange market using a unique simultaneous equations model.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14

• Multivariate Realized Stock Market Volatility

  Staff Working Paper 2007-20 Gregory Bauer, Keith Vorkink

  We present a new matrix-logarithm model of the realized covariance matrix of stock returns. The model uses latent factors which are functions of both lagged volatility and returns.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C53, G, G1, G14

• Impact of Electronic Trading Platforms on the Brokered Interdealer Market for Government of Canada Benchmark Bonds

  Staff Working Paper 2007-5 Natasha Khan

  This study examines the impact of increased transparency, brought about by the introduction of three electronic trading systems, on the brokered interdealer market for Government of Canada benchmark securities. Using the CanPX dataset for the 2-, 5-, 10-, and 30-year benchmarks, the paper finds some evidence of decreased bid-ask spreads for the 30-year benchmark in the months following the introduction of the electronic platforms.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G14

• Price Discovery in Canadian Government Bond Futures and Spot Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-4 Christopher Chung, Bryan Campbell, Scott Hendry

  In this paper we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices for Canadian Government bonds. We follow the information-share approaches introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Harris et al (1995), applying the techniques in Gonzalo-Granger (1995), to evaluate the relative contributions of trading in the cash and futures markets to the price discovery process.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G13, G14