F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics

• ToTEM: The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model

  Technical Report No. 97 Stephen Murchison, Andrew Rennison

  The authors provide a detailed technical description of the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM), which replaced the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) in December 2005 as the Bank's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models JEL Code(s): E, E1, E17, E2, E20, E3, E30, E4, E40, E5, E50, F, F4, F41

• Endogenous Borrowing Constraints and Consumption Volatility in a Small Open Economy

  Staff Working Paper 2006-37 Carlos De Resende

  Consumption volatility relative to output volatility is consistently higher in emerging economies than in developed economies.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F34, F4, F41

• Are Currency Crises Low-State Equilibria? An Empirical, Three-Interest-Rate Model

  Staff Working Paper 2006-5 Christopher Cornell, Raphael Solomon

  Suppose that the dynamics of the macroeconomy were given by (partly) random fluctuations between two equilibria: "good" and "bad."

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C6, C62, E, E5, E59, F, F4, F41

• The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting

  Staff Working Paper 2005-34 Christopher Ragan

  The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation targets, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E5, E50, E52, F, F4, F41

• A Structural VAR Approach to the Intertemporal Model of the Current Account

  Staff Working Paper 2003-42 Takashi Kano

  The intertemporal current account approach predicts that the current account of a small open economy is independent of global shocks, and that responses of the current account to country-specific shocks depend on the persistence of the shocks. The author shows that these predictions impose cross-equation restrictions (CERS) on a structural vector autoregression (SVAR).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Monetary aggregates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F4, F41

• Real Exchange Rate Persistence in Dynamic General-Equilibrium Sticky-Price Models: An Analytical Characterization

  Staff Working Paper 2003-35 Hafedh Bouakez

  This paper assesses analytically the ability of dynamic general-equilibrium sticky-price models to generate persistent real exchange rate fluctuations. It develops a tractable general-equilibrium model with Calvo-type price stickiness.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41

• Nominal Rigidity, Desired Markup Variations, and Real Exchange Rate Persistence

  Staff Working Paper 2002-26 Hafedh Bouakez

  This paper develops and estimates a dynamic general-equilibrium sticky-price model that accounts for real exchange rate persistence.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41

• Currency Fluctuations, Liability Dollarization, and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2002-6 Patrick Osakwe

  Traditional models of exchange rate regimes ignore the destabilizing effects of sharp and unanticipated exchange rate movements.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, F, F3, F31, F4, F41

• Real Effects of Collapsing Exchange Rate Regimes: An Application to Mexico

  Staff Working Paper 1999-10 Patrick Osakwe, Lawrence L. Schembri

  This paper examines the impact of a collapsing exchange rate regime on output in an open economy in which shocks to capital flows and exports predominate. A sticky-price rational expectations model is used to compare the variability of output under the collapsing regime to that under alternative fixed and flexible regimes. Output is found to […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41

• Fiscal Policy and External Balance in the G-7 Countries

  Technical Report No. 60 Stephen S. Poloz

  This paper assesses evidence, from the G-7 countries, of a link between a country's fiscal policy and its external balance, often referred to as the "twin deficits" phenomenon. It begins by reviewing the stylized facts, and then examines the theoretical case for such a link.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Research Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Fiscal policy, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F4, F41, H, H6, H60