Canada’s international competitiveness has received increasing attention in recent years as exports have fallen short of expectations and Canada has lost market share. This paper asks whether the Bank of Canada’s current effective exchange rate measure, the CERI, is still an accurate measure of Canada’s international competitiveness.
In this analytical note, we provide a comprehensive assessment of the complex structural adjustment facing the Canadian economy following the commodity price decline since mid-2014. We quantify separately the impacts coming from the commodity sector restructuring and the broader effect of significantly lower terms of trade.
Overall, responses to the winter Business Outlook Survey indicate that business sentiment has deteriorated as the negative effects of the commodity price shock continue to unfold and spread beyond the resource sector. However, exporters not directly affected by lower commodity prices continue to benefit from strong U.S. demand and the weak Canadian dollar.
The Board of Directors of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has appointed , Governor of the Bank of Canada, as Chair of the BIS Consultative Council for the Americas (CCA). The appointment is for a term of two years, effective 9 January 2016. The announcement is available on the BIS website. For more information, […]
Diverging monetary policies are the natural consequence of large declines in resource prices and should be expected, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said in a speech today at the Mayor’s Breakfast Series in Ottawa. Last month’s interest rate increase by the U.S. Federal Reserve is the first step in a long process toward […]