Jean-Sébastien Fontaine - Latest

• Which Model to Forecast the Target Rate?

  Staff Working Paper 2017-60 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Jianjian Jin

  Specifications of the Federal Reserve target rate that have more realistic features mitigate in-sample over-fitting and are favored in the data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43

• What Drives Episodes of Settlement Fails in the Government of Canada Bond Market?

  Staff Working Paper 2017-54 Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, James Pinnington, Adrian Walton

  We study settlement fails for trades in the Government of Canada bond market. We find that settlement fails do not occur independently. Using a novel and comprehensive dataset, we examine three drivers of fails.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, G, G1, G2, G21, L, L1

• Measuring Limits of Arbitrage in Fixed-Income Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2017-44 Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Guillaume Nolin

  We use relative value to measure limits to arbitrage in fixed-income markets. Relative value captures apparent deviations from no-arbitrage relationships. It is simple, intuitive and can be computed model-free for any bond.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Financial markets, International financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12