July 22, 2010 Monetary Policy Report – July 2010 The global economic recovery is proceeding but is not yet self-sustaining. Greater emphasis on balance sheet repair by households, banks, and governments in a number of advanced economies is expected to temper the pace of global growth relative to the Bank’s outlook in April. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 15, 2015 Monetary Policy Report – April 2015 Real GDP in Canada is expected to grow by 1.9 per cent in 2015 and 2.5 per cent in 2016 and by 2.0 per cent in 2017. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
January 23, 2013 Monetary Policy Report – January 2013 Following an estimated 1.9 per cent in 2012, the Canadian economy is expected to grow by 2.0 per cent in 2013 and 2.7 per cent in 2014, and to reach full capacity in the second half of 2014, later than anticipated in the October Report. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
November 16, 1999 The Corporate Bond Market in Canada Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 1999 Martin Miville, André Bernier The Canadian corporate bond market has experienced a renaissance, in recent years, against a background of low inflation, reduced public borrowing, and the lowest levels of long-term interest rates in a generation. The authors examine the influences shaping the market and also compare the Canadian market with those of other countries. The increased level of activity in the market has been accompanied by the development of new products and by greater investor interest in instruments with higher returns and higher credit risk. A more dynamic Canadian corporate bond market is a welcome development since it offers borrowers an alternative source of funds, especially companies that have typically relied on the banking system and on the U.S. corporate bond market for financings involving higher levels of credit risk. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Financial markets
November 11, 1996 Productivity growth in the commercial service sector Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 1996 Dinah Maclean For over three decades, measured productivity growth in the commercial service sector has consistently lagged behind that of the goods-producing sector. At the same time, the service sector has greatly expanded its share of output and employment. Some commentators have suggested that this trend will reduce growth in total economy-wide productivity. In this article, the author reviews recent trends in productivity growth in services and the main factors affecting it. She concludes that services will likely contribute to increases in future productivity growth. There is a great diversity of experience within the service sector. While productivity is falling in some industries, factors such as technological change, deregulation, and increased competition have helped to increase it in others. Moreover, much of the growth in commercial service output is occurring in those industries with relatively high productivity growth. Difficulties in measuring output for some service activities may also be resulting in underestimation of output and productivity growth. To the extent that services are used as intermediate inputs in the production of goods, underestimating productivity growth in the service industry would cause an offsetting overestimation of productivity growth in goods-producing industries. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Productivity
Security of a CBDC Staff Analytical Note 2020-11 Cyrus Minwalla Security is an important element in ensuring public confidence in a central bank digital currency (CBDC). This note highlights the required security properties of a CBDC system and the challenges encountered with existing solutions, should the Bank of Canada choose to issue one. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Central bank research, Digital currencies and fintech JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, E5, E51, O, O3, O31
October 19, 2006 Monetary Policy Report – October 2006 The Canadian economy continues to operate just above its full production capacity, and the near-term outlook for core inflation has moved slightly higher. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
November 28, 2014 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2014 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2014 - For the period ended 30 September 2014 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
December 6, 2012 Financial System Review - December 2012 The Governing Council judges that the risks to the stability of Canada’s financial system remain high, as they were at the time of the June FSR. The sources of the key risks are similar to those highlighted in June, and emanate primarily from the external environment. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial Stability Report
December 9, 1995 Survey of the Canadian foreign exchange and derivatives markets Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1995-1996 Martin Miville Since 1983, the Bank of Canada has conducted a triennial survey of foreign exchange market activity in Canada. The latest survey was done in April 1995 and covered activity in both the foreign exchange market and in the derivatives markets. The central banks of most other industrialized countries with active foreign exchange and derivatives markets also conducted similar surveys. This was the first time that markets for over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives were surveyed by central banks in a systematic and comprehensive fashion. The average daily turnover in the Canadian foreign exchange market, including foreign exchange derivatives, has continued to grow rapidly (by approximately 36 per cent to about U.S.$30 billion) since the last survey, although at a slower pace than during the 1980s. Foreign exchange and interest rate derivatives contracts dominate derivatives market activity, with equity and commodity derivatives activity being almost negligible in comparison. Through April 1995, daily turnover volume in Canadian foreign exchange and interest rate derivatives markets averaged about U.S.$19 billion and U.S.$15 billion, respectively, mostly in forward and swap transactions. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Financial markets