Stagflation and Topsy-Turvy Capital Flows Staff working paper 2022-46 Julien Bengui, Louphou Coulibaly Unregulated capital flows are likely excessive during a stagflation episode, owing to a macroeconomic externality operating through the economy’s supply side. Inflows raise domestic wages and cause unwelcome upward pressure on firm costs, yet market forces likely generate such inflows. Optimal capital flow management instead requires net outflows. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): D, D6, D62, E, E5, E52, F, F3, F32, F38, F4, F41 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
November 8, 2022 Details on Bond Buyback Operations This document presents the operational details pertaining to bond buyback operations. Please refer to the Standard Terms of each buyback operation for further information.
Core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic Staff analytical note 2022-17 Mikael Khan, Elyse Sullivan We assess the usefulness of various measures of core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that Cpi-trim and CPI-median provided the best signal of underlying inflation. The favourable performance of these measures stems from their lack of reliance on historical experience, an especially valuable feature in unprecedented times. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C1, C18, E, E3, E31 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
November 7, 2022 GMF publishes a consultation paper on a proposed fee for failing to settle GoC securities The Government of Canada Market Functioning Steering Group (GMF) published a consultation paper and an FAQ document today on a proposed fee for failing to settle GoC bond and bill transactions. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum
Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID-19: Does It “Get in All of the Cracks”? Staff working paper 2022-45 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, Nicholas Sander The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an atypical recession in which some sectors of the economy boomed and others collapsed. This required a unique fiscal policy reaction to both support firms and stimulate activity in sectors with slack. Was fiscal policy able to get where it was needed? Mostly, yes. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): D, D5, D57, E, E6, E62, F, F4, F41 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
November 3, 2022 Summary of Comments – Fall 2022 Debt Management Strategy Consultations Today, the Fall 2022 Debt Management Strategy Consultations Summary is being published in conjunction with the release of the Government of Canada’s Economic and Fiscal Update 2022. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices