January 13, 2020 Business Outlook Survey—Winter 2019–20 Results from the winter Business Outlook Survey suggest that business sentiment is broadly positive except in the Prairies, where indicators remain weak. In aggregate, firms’ outlook is supported by expectations of healthy domestic and foreign sales. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
September 10, 2020 Economic progress report: a very uneven recovery Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem The Canadian Chamber of Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and explains the uneven impact that the COVID-19 pandemic is having on different sectors and people. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
May 14, 2020 Financial System Review—2020 This issue of the Financial System Review focuses on the impact of COVID 19. The pandemic presents an unprecedented shock to the Canadian economy. This report identifies the effects on the Canadian financial system and explains how recent actions by the Bank and other policy-makers are helping to manage them. It further describes how a resilient financial system can help households and businesses smooth the effects of the COVID-19 shock and prepare for a robust recovery. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial Stability Report
May 27, 1998 Globalized Financial Markets and Monetary Policy Remarks Gordon Thiessen La Conférence de Montréal Montréal, Quebec Globalization - that is, the growing integration and interdependence of national economies - is changing dramatically the economic landscape. Countries are trading more goods and services, an increasing number of firms now operate across national borders, and savers and borrowers have greater access than ever before to global financial markets. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
April 14, 2005 Monetary Policy Report – April 2005 The global economy has been unfolding largely as expected, and prospects for continued robust growth are quite favourable, especially over the near term. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
May 11, 2017 The Life Cycle of Government of Canada Bonds in Core Funding Markets Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2017 Narayan Bulusu, Sermin Gungor Data on the use of government securities in the repo, securities lending and cash markets suggest there are bond market clienteles in Canada. Shorter-term bonds are more prevalent in the repo market, while longer-maturity securities are more active in the securities lending market—consistent with the preferred habitat hypothesis. These results could help design better debt-management strategies and more-effective policies to maintain well-functioning financial markets. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G2, G23
Has Liquidity in Canadian Government Bond Markets Deteriorated? Staff analytical note 2017-10 Sermin Gungor, Jun Yang This note presents measures of liquidity used by the Bank of Canada to monitor market conditions and discusses recent trends in Government of Canada (GoC) fixed-income market liquidity. Our results indicate that the Bank’s measures have improved since the financial crisis. Furthermore, GoC market liquidity deteriorated following several stressful events: the euro crisis in 2011, the taper tantrum in 2013 and the oil price shock in 2015. In all three cases, the deterioration remained within historical norms and liquidity returned to normal levels afterwards. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Market structure
October 22, 2003 Monetary Policy Report – October 2003 In the April Monetary Policy Report, the Bank noted that inflation was well above its 2 per cent target and that short-term inflation expectations had edged up. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 30, 2016 Research Update - April 2016 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
Assessment of the Effects of Macroprudential Tightening in Canada Staff analytical note 2016-12 Martin Kuncl During the period of 2008 to 2012, the rules for government-backed mortgage insurance were tightened on four occasions. In this note, we estimate the effects through a simple econometric exercise using a vector error-correction model (VECM). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E6, E65, G, G2, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial system regulation and oversight, Household and business credit