January 30, 2014 Research Update - January 2014 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
June 15, 2010 Bank of Canada Announces Appointment of Special Adviser Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced the appointment of Professor Prasanna Gai as Special Adviser for 2010–11. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Assessment of the Effects of Macroprudential Tightening in Canada Staff analytical note 2016-12 Martin Kuncl During the period of 2008 to 2012, the rules for government-backed mortgage insurance were tightened on four occasions. In this note, we estimate the effects through a simple econometric exercise using a vector error-correction model (VECM). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E6, E65, G, G2, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial system regulation and oversight, Household and business credit
January 24, 2006 Bank of Canada raises overnight rate target by 1/4 percentage point to 3 1/2 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 3 1/2 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 7, 2013 Bank of Canada Announces Appointment of Special Adviser Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced the appointment of Lynn Patterson as Special Adviser to the Governor. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
September 8, 2021 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues forward guidance and current pace of quantitative easing Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
December 9, 1994 The term structure of interest rates as a leading indicator of economic activity: A technical note Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1994-1995 Kevin Clinton The spread between long-term and short-term interest rates has proven to be an excellent predictor of changes of economic activity in Canada. As a general rule, when long-term interest rates have been much above short-term rates, strong increases in output have followed within about a year; however, whenever the yield curve has been inverted for any extended period of time, a recession has followed. Similar findings exist for other countries, including the United States. But although Canadian and U.S. interest rates generally move quite closely together, the Canadian yield curve has been distinctly better at predicting future Canadian output. The explanation given for this result is that the term spread has reflected both current monetary conditions, which affect short-term interest rates, and expected real returns on investment and expectations of inflation, which are the main determinants of long-term rates. This article is mainly a summary of econometric work done at the Bank. It also touches on some of the extensive recent literature in this area. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
September 3, 2008 Bank of Canada keeps overnight rate target at 3 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 3 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
April 30, 2022 Research Update - April 2022 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
June 8, 2004 Bank of Canada keeps target for the overnight rate at 2 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remains at 2 1/4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases