Endogenous Time Variation in Vector Autoregressions Staff working paper 2020-16 Danilo Leiva-Leon, Luis Uzeda We introduce a new class of time-varying parameter vector autoregressions (TVP-VARs) where the identified structural innovations are allowed to influence — contemporaneously and with a lag — the dynamics of the intercept and autoregressive coefficients in these models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C3, C32, E, E3, E31, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
March 9, 2010 An Uncertain Past: Data Revisions and Monetary Policy in Canada Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2010 Greg Tkacz Many important economic variables are subject to revision. This article explains how, when, and why such revisions occur; how revisions to Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) compare with GDP revisions in some other countries; which GDP components are subject to the largest revisions; and how data revisions can affect policy decisions. The author finds that revisions to Canadian GDP tend to be smaller, on average, than those of some other countries, and that among the GDP components, exports and imports are most heavily revised. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
September 5, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Inflation in Canada—Well Behaved and Well Controlled Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Halifax Regional Chamber of Commerce Halifax, Nova Scotia Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and the behaviour of inflation in Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
August 16, 2000 Monetary Policy Report Update – August 2000 Information received since the last Monetary Policy Report continues to show solid economic growth in the United States, Europe, and the emerging markets. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
June 12, 2003 Recent Economic Developments and the Conduct of Monetary Policy Remarks David Dodge Conseil du patronat du Québec Montréal, Quebec I want to talk to you about the Canadian economy - how it has evolved over the past few months and what are the prospects ahead. In doing so, I will review the economic forecast from our latest Monetary Policy Report, which we published in April. Then I will talk about what has changed since that time. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
April 30, 2025 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of April 16, 2025 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on April 16, 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
September 23, 1998 Global uncertainties and the Canadian economy Remarks Gordon Thiessen St. John's Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland This past year, we have had to deal with the implications for our economy and our currency of increased global uncertainty and pressures arising from the problems that originated in Southeast Asia. I am sure that the effects of these developments, especially on primary commodities, such as oil and nickel, are already very familiar to Newfoundlanders. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Readability and the Bank of Canada Staff analytical note 2018-20 Alexandre Deslongchamps In this note, I assess the readability of Bank of Canada publications using a formula commonly used for this type of evaluation. I find that Bank publications are more difficult to read than the media articles and other content our target audiences likely consume. This suggests that more simple writing can help the Bank better meet its communication objectives. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D8, D83 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
The Effects of Inflation Targeting for Financial Development Staff analytical note 2019-21 Geoffrey R. Dunbar, Amy (Qijia) Li The adoption of inflation targeting (IT) by central banks leads to an increase of 10 to 20 percent in measures of financial development, with a lag. We also find evidence that the financial sector benefits of IT adoption were higher for early-adopting central banks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E58 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial institutions and intermediation, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
December 15, 2016 The Rise of Mortgage Finance Companies in Canada: Benefits and Vulnerabilities Financial System Review - December 2016 Donald Coletti, Marc-André Gosselin, Cameron MacDonald The Rise of Mortgage Finance Companies in Canada: Benefits and Vulnerabilities, by Don Coletti, Marc-André Gosselin and Cameron MacDonald, examines the increased importance of mortgage finance companies (MFCs) in the Canadian mortgage market. The authors discuss the MFC business model, highlighting MFCs’ relationship with mortgage brokers and banks, as well as the benefits they bring to Canadian borrowers. The authors conclude with a discussion of the impact of MFCs on financial system vulnerabilities. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles JEL Code(s): G, G2, G23