Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2022 Staff analytical note 2022-4 Kyle Boutilier, Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, Eshini Ekanayake, Louis Poirier, Peter Shannon, Akash Uppal, Lin Xiang We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.7% in 2021 to 2.9% by 2024. Compared with the April 2021 assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, 0.25 percentage points higher than staff’s last assessment. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E1, E2, E4, E5, F, F0, O, O4 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
November 9, 2000 Monetary Policy Report – November 2000 Over the last six months, most countries have continued to register strong economic growth. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 23, 2003 Monetary Policy Report – April 2003 The global economic outlook has been clouded by a high degree of uncertainty, accentuated most recently by the war in Iraq. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
March 26, 2025 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of March 12, 2025 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on March 12, 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
January 25, 2023 Monetary Policy Report – January 2023 Inflation in Canada is still too high but has declined from its peak. As the effects of higher interest rates continue to spread through the economy, and with declines in energy prices and improved supply chains, inflation is projected to fall to around 3% in the middle of 2023 and reach the 2% target in 2024. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
May 14, 2020 Financial System Review—2020 This issue of the Financial System Review focuses on the impact of COVID 19. The pandemic presents an unprecedented shock to the Canadian economy. This report identifies the effects on the Canadian financial system and explains how recent actions by the Bank and other policy-makers are helping to manage them. It further describes how a resilient financial system can help households and businesses smooth the effects of the COVID-19 shock and prepare for a robust recovery. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial Stability Report
May 12, 2022 The perfect storm Remarks Toni Gravelle Association des économistes québécois Montréal, Quebec Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the commodity price shock and its implications for the Canadian economy and monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
Home Equity Extraction and Household Spending in Canada Staff analytical note 2019-27 Anson T. Y. Ho, Mikael Khan, Monica Mow, Brian Peterson We use rich microdata to measure home equity extraction in Canada and track its evolution over time. We find home equity extraction has been rising in recent years and has likely contributed materially to dynamics in household spending. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, E, E2, E21, G, G2, G20 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Household and business credit, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
April 1, 2026 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of March 18, 2026 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on March 18, 2026. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
January 23, 2003 Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2003 At the time of the October Monetary Policy Report, the Bank projected that core inflation would rise in the fourth quarter of 2002, reflecting a combination of one-off factors - including the rise in insurance premiums - and the “echo effect” from developments towards the end of 2001. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report