ElasticSearch Score: 5.8544602
This equilibrium model explains the trend in long-term yields and business-cycle movements in short-term yields and yield spreads. The less-frequent inverted yield curves (and less-frequent recessions) after the 1990s are due to recent secular stagnation and procyclical inflation expectations.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.7973447
November 20, 1995
This is the second in a series of semi-annual reports designed to increase the transparency and understanding of Canadian monetary policy.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.7818413
This paper studies the implications of model uncertainty for wealth distribution in a tractable general equilibrium model with a borrowing constraint and robustness à la Hansen and Sargent (2008). Households confront model uncertainty about the process driving the return of the risky asset, and they choose robust policies.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.7470503
October 21, 2004
The Canadian economy continues to adjust to major global developments.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.7259994
Modeling and estimating persistent discrete data can be challenging. In this paper, we use an autoregressive panel probit model where the autocorrelation in the discrete variable is driven by the autocorrelation in the latent variable. In such a non-linear model, the autocorrelation in an unobserved variable results in an intractable likelihood containing high-dimensional integrals.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.6009026
October 23, 2002
Over the past year, Canada’s economy has outperformed the economies of virtually all the other major industrial countries.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.575346
We develop a model with firm heterogeneity in importing and cross-border shopping among consumers. Exchange-rate appreciations lower the cost of imported goods, but also lead to more cross-border shopping; hence, the net impact on aggregate retail prices and sales is ambiguous.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.572079
October 22, 2003
In the April Monetary Policy Report, the Bank noted that inflation was well above its 2 per cent target and that short-term inflation expectations had edged up.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.4169044
Our study aims to gain insight on financial stability and climate transition risk. We develop a methodological framework that captures the direct effects of a stressful climate transition shock as well as the indirect—or systemic—implications of these direct effects. We apply this framework using data from the Canadian financial system.
ElasticSearch Score: 5.1560836
We study the importance of supply constraints in explaining the heterogeneity in house price cycles across geographies in the United States.