F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

• Are Currency Crises Low-State Equilibria? An Empirical, Three-Interest-Rate Model

  Staff Working Paper 2006-5 Christopher Cornell, Raphael Solomon

  Suppose that the dynamics of the macroeconomy were given by (partly) random fluctuations between two equilibria: "good" and "bad."

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C6, C62, E, E5, E59, F, F4, F41

• Structural Change in Covariance and Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Case of Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2006-2 Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian

  The authors address empirically the implications of structural breaks in the variance-covariance matrix of inflation and import prices for changes in pass-through.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E3, E31, F, F3, F31, F4, F40

• The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting

  Staff Working Paper 2005-34 Christopher Ragan

  The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation targets, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E5, E50, E52, F, F4, F41

• Has Exchange Rate Pass-Through Really Declined in Canada?

  Staff Working Paper 2005-29 Hafedh Bouakez, Nooman Rebei

  Several empirical studies suggest that exchange rate pass-through has declined in recent years in industrialized countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models, Exchange rates, Inflation and prices, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F4

• The Effects of the Exchange Rate on Investment: Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Industries

  Staff Working Paper 2005-22 Tarek Harchaoui, Faouzi Tarkhani, Terence Yuen

  Using industry-level data for 22 Canadian manufacturing industries, the authors examine the relationship between exchange rates and investment during the period 1981–97.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24, F, F4

• Labour Market Adjustments to Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Industries

  Staff Working Paper 2005-14 Danny Leung, Terence Yuen

  The authors provide some of the first empirical evidence on labour market adjustments to exchange rate movements in Canadian manufacturing industries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Labour markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E23, F, F4

• Do Exchange Rates Affect the Capital-Labour Ratio? Panel Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Industries

  Staff Working Paper 2005-12 Danny Leung, Terence Yuen

  Using industry-level data for Canadian manufacturing industries from 1981 to 1997, the authors find empirical evidence of a negative relationship between the capital-labour ratio and the user cost of capital relative to the price of labour.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Productivity JEL Code(s): F, F4

• Y a-t-il eu surinvestissement au Canada durant la seconde moitié des années 1990?

  Staff Working Paper 2005-5 Sylvain Martel

  This study on overinvestment differs from the existing literature in that investment in machinery and equipment is modelled as a structural vector autoregression with identification achieved by imposing long-run restrictions, as in Blanchard and Quah (1989).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E3, E37, F, F4, F47

• Commodity-Linked Bonds: A Potential Means for Less-Developed Countries to Raise Foreign Capital

  Staff Working Paper 2004-20 Joseph Atta-Mensah

  The author suggests that commodity-linked bonds could provide a potential means for less-developed countries (LDCs) to raise money on the international capital markets, rather than through standard forms of financing.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Development economics, Financial markets, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F30, F34, F4, F49, G, G1, G11, G13, O, O1, O16

• Modélisation « PAC » du secteur extérieur de l'économie américaine

  Staff Working Paper 2004-3 Marc-André Gosselin, René Lalonde

  In this paper, the authors use polynomial adjustment cost (PAC) models to analyze and forecast the main components of the U.S. trade sector.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E3, E37, F, F4, F47