Dmitry Matveev - Latest
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Furor over the Fed : Presidential Tweets and Central Bank Independence
We illustrate how market data can be informative about the interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. Federal funds futures are private contracts that reflect investor’s expectations about monetary policy decisions. -
Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk Adjustments?
Motivated by the observation that survey expectations of stock returns are inconsistent with rational return expectations under real-world probabilities, we investigate whether alternative expectations hypotheses entertained in the literature on asset pricing are consistent with the survey evidence.